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Home › Football › Copa Paraguay › Libertad Asuncion v Independiente F.b.c.

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Libertad Asuncion v Independiente F.b.c.

Libertad Asuncion
22:30Upcoming
Independiente F.b.c.

Copa Paraguay · TUE 27 OCT · La Arboleda

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Libertad AsuncionDrawIndependiente F.b.c.
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 22:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Libertad Asuncion 75%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Libertad Asuncion are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Libertad Asuncion 75%, draw 17%, Independiente F.b.c. 9%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Libertad Asuncion v Independiente F.b.c.Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Libertad Asuncion win75%
Draw17%
Independiente F.b.c. win9%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 22:30

RoundQuarter-finals

VenueLa Arboleda

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Libertad Asuncion

Independiente F.b.c.

4Days since last match4

Last match: 23 Oct · Division Profesional - Clausura

Last match: 23 Oct · Division Intermedia

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · libertad asuncion winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 01:51 · locked at kick-off
75% The market–
Us75%

We make Libertad Asuncion a 75% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Libertad Asuncion v Independiente F.b.c.2.36 – 0.69
Form · Copa Paraguay this season · since 11 AugW0 D2 L0 · W1 D1 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80% 21 OCT 00:0124 OCT 23:51
Our probability · Libertad Asuncion win

Published at 73%, 75% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Libertad Asuncion win75%––
Draw17%––
Independiente F.b.c. win9%––
Over 2.5 goals59%––
Both teams to score45%––
Over 1.5 goals81%––
Over 3.5 goals36%––
Libertad Asuncion or draw91%––
Libertad Asuncion clean sheet50%––
Independiente F.b.c. clean sheet9%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 13.2%
0123450 5.0 3.0 1 10.9 7.9 2.6 2 13.2 9.1 3.1 3 10.4 7.2 2.5 4 6.2 4.2 5 2.9
under 2% 5% 12%+Libertad Asuncion down, Independiente F.b.c. across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Copa Paraguay this season · since 11 Aug

LIBERTAD ASUNCION

DD0–0 · 1–1

INDEPENDIENTE F.B.C.

WD1–0 · 2–2