Cerro Porteno v Club Sp. San Lorenzo

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Cerro Porteno win at 65%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Cerro Porteno was 65% before kick-off and our model makes it 66% now. 0–0 · 66–21–14
3. 1′KICK-OFF Cerro Porteno v Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4. 5′A goal for Club Sp. San Lorenzo on 4′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 39–26–35
5. 5′⚽ GOAL · 4' Cerro Porteno 0–1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
6. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Cerro Porteno win: 65% at kick-off, 39% now
7. 7′We said Cerro Porteno at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–1 · 38–26–36
8. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Cerro Porteno win: 65% at kick-off, 35% now
9. 15′We said Cerro Porteno at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–27–38
10. 17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' Club Sp. San Lorenzo win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Cerro Porteno win 34%)
11. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Cerro Porteno
12. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Cerro Porteno 0–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
13. 19′18′ and it is 0–2: Club Sp. San Lorenzo have scored. 0–2 · 14–19–67
14. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Cerro Porteno win: 65% at kick-off, 14% now
15. 21′We said Cerro Porteno at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–2 · 13–19–68
16. 21′🟨 YELLOW · 17' L. A. Quintana Rodriguez · Cerro Porteno
17. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Cerro Porteno 1–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
18. 25′Cerro Porteno find the net on 24′. 1–2. 1–2 · 30–29–41
19. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Cerro Porteno win: 65% at kick-off, 30% now
20. 27′We said Cerro Porteno at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–2 · 29–29–42
21. 45′A goal for Cerro Porteno on 45′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 50–36–14
22. 45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Cerro Porteno 2–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
23. 45′HALF-TIME Cerro Porteno 2–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
24. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Cerro Porteno win: 65% at kick-off, 50% now
25. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Cerro Porteno win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Club Sp. San Lorenzo win 14%)
26. 46′SECOND HALF Cerro Porteno 2–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
27. 51′We said Cerro Porteno at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 2–2 · 46–40–13
28. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Club Sp. San Lorenzo · On: T. Paredes · Off: K. Fernandez
29. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Club Sp. San Lorenzo · On: M. Ferreira · Off: S. Salcedo
30. 72′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 29–62–10
31. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Cerro Porteno win: 65% at kick-off, 29% now
32. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Cerro Porteno win 29%)
33. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Cerro Porteno · On: A. G. Benitez · Off: B. Riveros
34. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Cerro Porteno · On: A. G. Benitez · Off: B. Riveros
35. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Cerro Porteno · On: F. Dominguez · Off: D. Rodriguez
36. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Cerro Porteno · On: J. Torres · Off: S. Araujo
37. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Club Sp. San Lorenzo · On: A. Alvarez · Off: G. Gerzel
38. 76′We said Cerro Porteno at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–68–8
39. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Cerro Porteno win: 65% at kick-off, 24% now
40. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Club Sp. San Lorenzo
41. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Cerro Porteno
42. 80′We said Cerro Porteno at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 18–75–6
43. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Cerro Porteno · On: I. Aliseda · Off: L. Merolla
44. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Cerro Porteno · On: A. D. Canete Torres · Off: I. Ramirez
45. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Cerro Porteno win: 65% at kick-off, 15% now
46. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP Cerro Porteno win: 65% at kick-off, 40% now
47. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN Cerro Porteno win: 65% at kick-off, 0% now
48. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Club Sp. San Lorenzo · On: B. Pinatares · Off: F. Aragon
49. 89′We said Cerro Porteno at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 2–2 · 7–90–3
50. 89′We said Cerro Porteno at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 2–2 · 40–47–12
51. 89′We said Cerro Porteno at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 0%. 2–2 · 0–100–0
52. FTFULL TIME Cerro Porteno 2–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo
53. FTCerro Porteno 2–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo after 90 minutes, as graded · Cerro Porteno win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.