Veraguas v Union Cocle prediction · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

VeraguasDrawUnion Cocle

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 01:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Veraguas 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Veraguas are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Veraguas 48%, draw 27%, Union Cocle 25%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Veraguas v Union CocleBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 03:44 · locked at kick-off

Veraguas win48%

Draw27%

Union Cocle win25%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 01:00

RoundApertura · matchday 13

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Veraguas

Union Cocle

10Days since last match9

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Veraguas	12	0	18
12	Union Cocle	12	−14	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · veraguas winFirst published 22 Oct 03:44 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Veraguas a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Veraguas v Union Cocle~~1.62 – 1.09

~~Form · last six in Liga Panameña de Fútbol this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 18 v 5~~5 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Veraguas win	48%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Union Cocle win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Veraguas or draw	75%	–	–
Veraguas clean sheet	34%	–	–
Union Cocle clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 8.1 6.2 4.0 1 9.6 12.7 6.3 2.3 2 8.6 9.2 5.0 3 4.7 5.0 2.7 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Veraguas down, Union Cocle across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,205 Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.6% of games this season, across 176 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2026 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Veraguas at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Union Cocle away: 0.50 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.62 goals for Veraguas, 1.09 for Union Cocle. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~UNI 0–1 VER · VER 1–1 UNI · UNI 2–2 VER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Panameña de Fútbol this season · since 5 Sept

VERAGUAS

LWDDWL1–3 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–3

UNION COCLE

LLLLLL0–2 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 2–3

The table

2026 · Apertura

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Plaza Amador	12	+12	27
2	San Francisco FC	12	+9	23
3	CD Arabe Unido	13	+6	23
4	UMECIT	13	+2	20
5	Veraguas	12	0	18
6	Tauro FC	12	+5	17
7	Independiente de La Chorrera	12	0	14
8	Alianza FC	12	0	14
9	Sporting San Miguelito	12	−3	13
10	Deportivo Universitario	12	−3	11
11	Herrera	12	−14	11
12	Union Cocle	12	−14	5