Veraguas v Herrera prediction · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Veraguas are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Veraguas 60%, draw 22%, Herrera 18%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Veraguas v HerreraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · postponed, not graded

Veraguas win60%

Draw22%

Herrera win18%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 23:15

RoundApertura · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Veraguas

Herrera

8Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Veraguas	12	0	18
11	Herrera	12	−14	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · veraguas winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · postponed, not graded

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Veraguas a 60% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Veraguas v Herrera~~2.13 – 1.09

~~Form · last six in Liga Panameña de Fútbol this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 18 v 11~~5 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Veraguas win	60%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Herrera win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Veraguas or draw	82%	–	–
Veraguas clean sheet	34%	–	–
Herrera clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%

0123450 5.3 3.7 2.5 1 7.8 10.2 5.1 2 8.9 9.5 5.2 3 6.2 6.7 3.6 4 3.4 3.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Veraguas down, Herrera across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,204 Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.9% of games this season, across 175 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.20 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Veraguas at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Herrera away: 1.17 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.13 goals for Veraguas, 1.09 for Herrera. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~HER 2–2 VER · HER 1–2 VER · VER 5–0 HER · HER 0–2 VER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Panameña de Fútbol this season · since 5 Sept

VERAGUAS

LWDDWL1–3 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–3

HERRERA

LLLLWW1–4 · 1–3 · 0–6 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 3–2

The table

2026 · Apertura

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Plaza Amador	12	+12	27
2	San Francisco FC	12	+9	23
3	CD Arabe Unido	12	+6	22
4	UMECIT	12	+2	19
5	Veraguas	12	0	18
6	Tauro FC	12	+5	17
7	Independiente de La Chorrera	12	0	14
8	Alianza FC	12	0	14
9	Sporting San Miguelito	12	−3	13
10	Deportivo Universitario	12	−3	11
11	Herrera	12	−14	11
12	Union Cocle	12	−14	5