Union Cocle v Herrera

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Union Cocle win at 51%.
2. 0′KICK-OFF Union Cocle v Herrera
3. 1′Much as we predicted: Union Cocle was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–28–22
4. 18′We published Union Cocle at 51%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–15–7
5. 18′A goal for Union Cocle on 18′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 78–15–7
6. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Union Cocle 1–0 Herrera
7. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Union Cocle win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
8. 24′We published Union Cocle at 51%. Our model now makes it 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
9. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Union Cocle 2–0 Herrera
10. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Union Cocle win: 51% at kick-off, 94% now
11. 25′Union Cocle score on 24′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
12. 33′We published Union Cocle at 51%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
13. 45′Herrera find the net on 45′. 2–0 · 96–4–1
14. 45′We published Union Cocle at 51%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
15. 45′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 80–16–4
16. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Union Cocle 2–1 Herrera
17. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Union Cocle win: 51% at kick-off, 80% now
18. 45′HALF-TIME Union Cocle 2–1 Herrera
19. 45′SECOND HALF Union Cocle 2–1 Herrera
20. 49′We said Union Cocle at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 2–2 · 38–43–19
21. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Union Cocle 2–2 Herrera
22. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Union Cocle win: 51% at kick-off, 38% now
23. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Union Cocle win 38%)
24. 50′A goal for Herrera on 49′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 37–43–19
25. 51′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 37–44–19
26. 56′We said Union Cocle at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–47–18
27. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Herrera
28. 61′Herrera find the net on 61′. 2–2 · 31–52–17
29. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Union Cocle win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
30. 64′We said Union Cocle at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 2–3 · 6–23–71
31. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Union Cocle 2–3 Herrera
32. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Union Cocle win: 51% at kick-off, 6% now
33. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Herrera win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 23%)
34. 66′Herrera score on 65′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 6–22–72
35. 66′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 6–22–72
36. 69′We said Union Cocle at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–3 · 4–21–74
37. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Union Cocle · On: R. Lindo · Off: M. Diaz
38. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Union Cocle · On: J. Gonzalez · Off: L. Wong
39. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Union Cocle · On: J. De la Espada · Off: W. Lashley
40. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Herrera · On: D. Tenorio · Off: J. Gonzalez
41. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Herrera · On: A. Penalba · Off: R. Villarreal
42. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Herrera
43. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Union Cocle win: 51% at kick-off, 1% now
44. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Union Cocle · On: J. Pineda · Off: J. Lynch
45. FTFULL TIME Union Cocle 2–3 Herrera
46. FTUnion Cocle 2–3 Herrera · Union Cocle win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.