Union Cocle v Deportivo Universitario prediction · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Close to call, with Union Cocle just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Union Cocle 36%, draw 32%, Deportivo Universitario 33%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Union Cocle v Deportivo UniversitarioBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · postponed, not graded

Union Cocle win36%

Draw32%

Deportivo Universitario win33%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 21:00

RoundApertura · matchday 14

VenueVirgilio Tejeira Andrion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Union Cocle

Deportivo Universitario

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Deportivo Universitario	12	−3	11
12	Union Cocle	12	−14	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · union cocle winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · postponed, not graded

36% The market–

Us36%

We make Union Cocle a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Union Cocle v Deportivo Universitario~~1.13 – 1.06

~~Form · last six in Liga Panameña de Fútbol this season · since 5 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 5 v 11~~12 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Union Cocle win	36%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Deportivo Universitario win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	38%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
Union Cocle or draw	67%	–	–
Union Cocle clean sheet	35%	–	–
Deportivo Universitario clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.4%

0123450 12.7 10.6 6.3 2.3 1 11.3 14.4 7.0 2.5 2 7.1 7.4 3.9 3 2.7 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Union Cocle down, Deportivo Universitario across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,204 Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.9% of games this season, across 175 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2026 in every competition we cover, 1.33 goals a meeting; 0 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Union Cocle at home: 1.17 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Deportivo Universitario away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Union Cocle, 1.06 for Deportivo Universitario. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~1.33

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~DEP 1–1 UNI · DEP 2–0 UNI · UNI 0–0 DEP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Panameña de Fútbol this season · since 5 Sept

UNION COCLE

LLLLLL0–2 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 2–3

DEPORTIVO UNIVERSITARIO

DLDWLL1–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–1

The table

2026 · Apertura

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Plaza Amador	12	+12	27
2	San Francisco FC	12	+9	23
3	CD Arabe Unido	12	+6	22
4	UMECIT	12	+2	19
5	Veraguas	12	0	18
6	Tauro FC	12	+5	17
7	Independiente de La Chorrera	12	0	14
8	Alianza FC	12	0	14
9	Sporting San Miguelito	12	−3	13
10	Deportivo Universitario	12	−3	11
11	Herrera	12	−14	11
12	Union Cocle	12	−14	5