Tauro FC v Plaza Amador prediction · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Plaza Amador are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tauro FC 31%, draw 26%, Plaza Amador 44%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Tauro FC v Plaza AmadorBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Tauro FC win31%

Draw26%

Plaza Amador win44%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 02:30

RoundApertura · matchday 13

VenueEstadio Rommel Fernandez

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tauro FC

Plaza Amador

5Days since last match7

Last match: 20 Oct · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · plaza amador winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

44% The market43%

Us44%

~~Market~~43%

We make Plaza Amador a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tauro FC v Plaza Amador~~1.39 – 1.70

~~Form · last six in Liga Panameña de Fútbol this season · since 6 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 17 v 27~~6 v 1

~~The market · Plaza Amador win~~43% · ours 44%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Plaza Amador win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tauro FC win	31%	29%	+2
Draw	26%	28%	−2
Plaza Amador win	44%	43%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	59%	51%	+8
Both teams to score	62%	57%	+5
Over 1.5 goals	82%	75%	+7
Over 3.5 goals	37%	31%	+6
Tauro FC or draw	56%	57%	−1
Tauro FC clean sheet	19%	–	–
Plaza Amador clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 5.9 6.7 6.5 3.7 1 5.4 11.6 8.8 5.0 2.2 2 4.5 7.3 6.1 3.5 3 2.1 3.4 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tauro FC down, Plaza Amador across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,205 Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.6% of games this season, across 176 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.30 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tauro FC at home: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Plaza Amador away: 2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Tauro FC, 1.70 for Plaza Amador. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.30

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~PLA 3–2 TAU · TAU 0–1 PLA · PLA 0–1 TAU · TAU 2–3 PLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Panameña de Fútbol this season · since 6 Sept

TAURO FC

WWWLLW2–0 · 1–0 · 6–0 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–0

PLAZA AMADOR

WDDWWW4–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–0

The table

2026 · Apertura

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Plaza Amador	12	+12	27
2	San Francisco FC	12	+9	23
3	CD Arabe Unido	13	+6	23
4	UMECIT	13	+2	20
5	Veraguas	12	0	18
6	Tauro FC	12	+5	17
7	Independiente de La Chorrera	12	0	14
8	Alianza FC	12	0	14
9	Sporting San Miguelito	12	−3	13
10	Deportivo Universitario	12	−3	11
11	Herrera	12	−14	11
12	Union Cocle	12	−14	5