Plaza Amador v Alianza FC prediction · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Plaza Amador are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Plaza Amador 57%, draw 24%, Alianza FC 19%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Plaza Amador v Alianza FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · postponed, not graded

Plaza Amador win57%

Draw24%

Alianza FC win19%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 00:15

RoundApertura · matchday 14

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Plaza Amador

Alianza FC

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Last match: 19 Oct · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · plaza amador winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · postponed, not graded

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Plaza Amador a 57% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Plaza Amador v Alianza FC~~1.97 – 1.06

~~Form · last six in Liga Panameña de Fútbol this season · since 6 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 27 v 14~~1 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Plaza Amador win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Plaza Amador win	57%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Alianza FC win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Plaza Amador or draw	81%	–	–
Plaza Amador clean sheet	35%	–	–
Alianza FC clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 6.1 4.3 2.8 1 8.7 11.0 5.3 2 9.2 9.6 5.1 3 6.0 6.3 3.3 4 3.0 3.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Plaza Amador down, Alianza FC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,204 Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.9% of games this season, across 175 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.30 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Plaza Amador at home: 2.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Alianza FC away: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.97 goals for Plaza Amador, 1.06 for Alianza FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.30

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ALI 2–4 PLA · PLA 2–2 ALI · PLA 1–1 ALI · ALI 1–1 PLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Panameña de Fútbol this season · since 6 Sept

PLAZA AMADOR

WDDWWW4–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–0

ALIANZA FC

DLDWLL1–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–2

The table

2026 · Apertura

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Plaza Amador	12	+12	27
2	San Francisco FC	12	+9	23
3	CD Arabe Unido	12	+6	22
4	UMECIT	12	+2	19
5	Veraguas	12	0	18
6	Tauro FC	12	+5	17
7	Independiente de La Chorrera	12	0	14
8	Alianza FC	12	0	14
9	Sporting San Miguelito	12	−3	13
10	Deportivo Universitario	12	−3	11
11	Herrera	12	−14	11
12	Union Cocle	12	−14	5