CD Arabe Unido v Tauro FC prediction · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

CD Arabe Unido are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CD Arabe Unido 38%, draw 31%, Tauro FC 30%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on CD Arabe Unido v Tauro FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

CD Arabe Unido win38%

Draw31%

Tauro FC win30%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 02:30

RoundApertura · matchday 14

VenueEstadio Armando Dely Valdes

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CD Arabe Unido

Tauro FC

6Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Last match: 20 Oct · Liga Panameña de Fútbol

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	CD Arabe Unido	12	+6	22
6	Tauro FC	12	+5	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cd arabe unido winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 21 Oct 00:13 · postponed, not graded

38% The market–

Us38%

We make CD Arabe Unido a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CD Arabe Unido v Tauro FC~~1.21 – 1.05

~~Form · last six in Liga Panameña de Fútbol this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 22 v 17~~3 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · CD Arabe Unido win

Published at 40%, 38% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CD Arabe Unido win	38%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Tauro FC win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
CD Arabe Unido or draw	70%	–	–
CD Arabe Unido clean sheet	36%	–	–
Tauro FC clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.2%

0123450 12.1 9.7 5.8 2.0 1 11.4 14.2 6.8 2.4 2 7.6 7.8 4.1 3 3.1 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CD Arabe Unido down, Tauro FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,204 Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Panameña de Fútbol matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.9% of games this season, across 175 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CD Arabe Unido at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Tauro FC away: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.21 goals for CD Arabe Unido, 1.05 for Tauro FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~TAU 0–1 CDA · TAU 4–0 CDA · CDA 1–0 TAU · CDA 4–1 TAU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Panameña de Fútbol this season · since 5 Sept

CD ARABE UNIDO

WWWWDL3–1 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–2

TAURO FC

WWWLLW2–0 · 1–0 · 6–0 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–0

The table

2026 · Apertura

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Plaza Amador	12	+12	27
2	San Francisco FC	12	+9	23
3	CD Arabe Unido	12	+6	22
4	UMECIT	12	+2	19
5	Veraguas	12	0	18
6	Tauro FC	12	+5	17
7	Independiente de La Chorrera	12	0	14
8	Alianza FC	12	0	14
9	Sporting San Miguelito	12	−3	13
10	Deportivo Universitario	12	−3	11
11	Herrera	12	−14	11
12	Union Cocle	12	−14	5