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Saham v Sur
Professional League · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Sur win at 40%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Sur was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 34–27–40
- 4′KICK-OFF Saham v Sur
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 10' Saham 0–0 Sur
- 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Saham 1–0 Sur
- 18′10′ and it is 1–0: Saham have scored. 1–0 · 62–23–15
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Sur win: 40% at kick-off, 15% now
- 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Saham win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Sur win 15%)
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 10' Saham 1–0 Sur · A. Al-Hashmi
- 40′We said Sur at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 1–0 · 67–23–10
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Sur win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Saham 1–0 Sur
- 45′SECOND HALF Saham 1–0 Sur
- 57′We said Sur at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 68–23–9
- FTFULL TIME Saham 1–0 Sur
- FTSaham 1–0 Sur · Sur win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 14:05
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Sur a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 29%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.3.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 29% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saham win | 34% | 41% | −7 |
| Draw | 26% | 30% | −4 |
| Sur win | 40% | 29% | +11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 46% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 52% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 70% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 26% | −1 |
| Saham or draw | 60% | 71% | −11 |
| Saham clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Sur clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2024Form · last six in Professional League
SAHAM
SUR
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Nasr | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Al Seeb | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 3 |  Al-Nahda | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 |  Al-Shabab | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Oman Club | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 | Saham | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Ibri | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 8 |  Sohar | 4 | −2 | 5 |
| 9 |  Smail | 3 | −3 | 4 |
| 10 |  Al Musannah | 4 | −1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Bahla | 3 | −1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Fanja | 4 | −3 | 2 |
| 13 |  Dhofar | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 14 | Sur | 3 | −5 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.