Oman Club v Bahla prediction · Professional League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02

Oman Club 0–1 Bahla OMAN CLUB WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Oman Club win~~39%

~~The market said~~36%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.685

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.685

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Oman Club win at 39%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Oman Club 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–29–33
1′KICK-OFF Oman Club v Bahla
23′A goal for Bahla on 22′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–23–65
23′We said Oman Club at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–23–65
23′⚽ GOAL · 22' Oman Club 0–1 Bahla
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Oman Club win: 39% at kick-off, 12% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Bahla win is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Oman Club win 12%)
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 0–1 · 11–23–66
37′We said Oman Club at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Oman Club win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
45′HALF-TIME Oman Club 0–1 Bahla
46′SECOND HALF Oman Club 0–1 Bahla
60′We said Oman Club at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
85′Oman Club score on 85′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 6–88–6
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Oman Club 1–1 Bahla
85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Bahla win 6%)
87′GOAL DISALLOWED · 87' Oman Club
87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Bahla win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 5%)
FTFULL TIME Oman Club 0–1 Bahla
FTOman Club 0–1 Bahla · Oman Club win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Oman Club are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Oman Club 39%, draw 28%, Bahla 33%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Oman Club v BahlaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Oman Club win39%

Draw28%

Bahla win33%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:05

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Oman Club

Bahla

16Days since last match17

Last match: 2 Oct · FA Cup (Oman)

Last match: 1 Oct · FA Cup (Oman)

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Oman Club	3	+1	6
12	Bahla	3	−1	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oman club winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

39% The market36%

Us39%

~~Market~~36%

We make Oman Club a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Oman Club v Bahla~~1.17 – 1.04

~~Form · Professional League this season · since 30 Aug~~W2 D0 L1 · W1 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 6 v 3~~6 v 12

~~The market · Oman Club win~~36% · ours 39%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Oman Club win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Oman Club win	39%	36%	+3
Draw	28%	31%	−3
Bahla win	33%	33%	0
Over 2.5 goals	38%	42%	−4
Both teams to score	44%	49%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	64%	66%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	18%	23%	−5
Oman Club or draw	67%	67%	0
Oman Club clean sheet	36%	–	–
Bahla clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.1%

0123450 11.0 11.8 6.0 2.1 1 13.1 12.9 6.8 2.4 2 7.5 7.6 4.0 3 2.9 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Oman Club down, Bahla across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 837 Professional League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Professional League matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.80 goals a meeting; 1 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Oman Club at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Bahla away: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.17 goals for Oman Club, 1.04 for Bahla. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.80

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BAH 1–1 OMA · OMA 2–0 BAH · BAH 3–4 OMA · BAH 0–1 OMA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Professional League this season · since 30 Aug

OMAN CLUB

WWL2–0 · 1–0 · 0–2

BAHLA

LLW1–3 · 0–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Nasr	3	+5	9
2	Saham	5	0	9
3	Al Seeb	3	+4	7
4	Al-Nahda	3	+2	7
5	Al-Shabab	3	+2	6
6	Oman Club	3	+1	6
7	Smail	5	−3	6
8	Ibri	4	+3	5
9	Fanja	5	−1	5
10	Sohar	4	−2	5
11	Al Musannah	5	−1	4
12	Bahla	3	−1	3
13	Dhofar	4	−3	2
14	Sur	4	−6	0