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Fanja v Ibri

Fanja

0–0Full time

Ibri

Professional League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 16:34

Fanja 0–0 Ibri FANJA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Fanja win~~40%

~~The market said~~31%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.792

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.732

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Fanja win40%

Draw27%

Ibri win33%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fanja winPublished 9 Oct 14:02

40% The market31%

Us40%

~~Market~~31%

We make Fanja a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 31%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · fanja win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 32% to 31% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fanja win	40%	31%	+9
Draw	27%	30%	−3
Ibri win	33%	39%	−6
Over 2.5 goals	40%	40%	0
Both teams to score	45%	47%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	66%	65%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	20%	21%	0
Fanja or draw	67%	61%	+6
Fanja clean sheet	35%	–	–
Ibri clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.7%

0123450 10.0 11.2 5.8 2.1 1 12.7 12.5 6.9 2.5 2 7.5 7.8 4.2 3 3.1 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Fanja down, Ibri across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 831 Professional League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Professional League matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Fanja at home: 0.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 1). Ibri away: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for Fanja, 1.08 for Ibri. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Professional League

FANJA

LLD0–2 · 0–1 · 0–0

IBRI

LWLDWL0–2 · 2–0 · 1–7 · 0–0 · 4–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Nasr	3	+5	9
2	Al Seeb	3	+4	7
3	Al-Nahda	3	+2	7
4	Al-Shabab	3	+2	6
5	Oman Club	3	+1	6
6	Saham	3	+1	6
7	Sohar	3	+1	5
8	Ibri	3	+3	4
9	Smail	3	−3	4
10	Bahla	3	−1	3
11	Dhofar	3	−3	1
12	Fanja	3	−3	1
13	Al Musannah	3	−4	0
14	Sur	3	−5	0