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Model 1.2

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Al Seeb v Sohar

Al Seeb
2–0Full time
Sohar

Professional League · FRI 23 OCT

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 19:31
Al Seeb 2–0 Sohar AL SEEB WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al Seeb win69%
The market said65%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.148
The market’s Brier score0.188

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Seeb win at 69%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Seeb 69% before kick-off, 69% now. 0–0 · 69–19–13
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Al Seeb v Sohar
  4. 14′We said Al Seeb at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 1–0 · 87–10–3
  5. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Al Seeb 1–0 Sohar
  6. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Al Seeb win: 69% at kick-off, 87% now
  7. 15′A goal for Al Seeb on 15′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 87–10–3
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 87–10–3
  9. 45′SECOND HALF Al Seeb 1–0 Sohar
  10. 48′HALF-TIME Al Seeb 1–0 Sohar
  11. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Al Seeb win: 69% at kick-off, 89% now
  12. 67′We said Al Seeb at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  13. 82′We said Al Seeb at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  14. 93′We said Al Seeb at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  15. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Al Seeb win: 69% at kick-off, 99% now
  16. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Al Seeb 2–0 Sohar
  17. 94′Al Seeb score on 90′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  18. 95′2–0 at the end. Our 69% on Al Seeb comes in. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  19. FTFULL TIME Al Seeb 2–0 Sohar
  20. FTAl Seeb 2–0 Sohar · Al Seeb win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Seeb are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Seeb 69%, draw 19%, Sohar 12%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Al Seeb v SoharBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Seeb win69%
Draw19%
Sohar win12%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 16:50

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Seeb

Sohar

5Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · Professional League

Last match: 19 Oct · Professional League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Al Seeb4+37
12Sohar5−75

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al seeb winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 20 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off
69% The market65%
Us69%
Market65%

We make Al Seeb a 69% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–0.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al Seeb v Sohar2.09 – 0.72
Form · Professional League this season · since 30 AugW2 D1 L1 · W1 D2 L2
Table places · points 7 v 55 v 12
The market · Al Seeb win65% · ours 69%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 17 OCT 00:0123 OCT 16:14
Our probability · Al Seeb win The market, margin stripped

Published at 67%, 69% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Seeb win69%65%+4
Draw19%22%−3
Sohar win12%13%−1
Over 2.5 goals53%50%+3
Both teams to score44%44%0
Over 1.5 goals76%73%+3
Over 3.5 goals31%29%+2
Al Seeb or draw88%87%+1
Al Seeb clean sheet49%––
Sohar clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.0%
0123450 6.0 4.9 1 13.0 8.7 3.3 2 12.9 9.1 3.3 3 9.0 6.3 2.3 4 4.8 3.3 5 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Seeb down, Sohar across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.55 of 10
Both scored5 of 10
Last meetingsSOH 1–3 ALS · ALS 0–1 SOH · SOH 0–1 ALS · ALS 2–1 SOH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Professional League this season · since 30 Aug

AL SEEB

WWDL3–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–1

SOHAR

DWDLL0–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–4 · 0–5

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Nasr4+612
2Al-Nahda4+610
3Al-Shabab4+79
4Saham509
5Al Seeb4+37
6Bahla406
7Oman Club406
8Smail5−36
9Ibri5+25
10Fanja5−15
11Dhofar5−25
12Sohar5−75
13Al Musannah5−14
14Sur5−100

The competition's standings before kick-off.