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Al Musannah v Ibri

Al Musannah
2–0Full time
Ibri

Professional League · FRI 23 OCT

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 16:32
Al Musannah 2–0 Ibri AL MUSANNAH WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al Musannah win51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.359

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Musannah win at 51%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Al Musannah was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–25–24
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Al Musannah v Ibri
  4. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Al Musannah win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
  5. 44′We said Al Musannah at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–40–21
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Al Musannah 0–0 Ibri
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Al Musannah 0–0 Ibri
  8. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Al Musannah win 40%)
  9. 55′We said Al Musannah at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–47–19
  10. 55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 34–47–19
  11. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Al Musannah win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
  12. 63′We said Al Musannah at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–54–17
  13. 70′We said Al Musannah at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–62–14
  14. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Al Musannah win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
  15. 75′We said Al Musannah at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–69–11
  16. 78′Al Musannah find the net on 78′. 1–0. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  17. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Al Musannah 1–0 Ibri
  18. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Al Musannah win: 51% at kick-off, 90% now
  19. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Al Musannah win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 74%)
  20. 79′We published Al Musannah at 51%. Our model now makes it 91%. 1–0 · 91–9–1
  21. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Al Musannah win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
  22. 84′We published Al Musannah at 51%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  23. 98′A goal for Al Musannah on 90′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  24. 98′We published Al Musannah at 51%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  25. 98′⚽ GOAL · 90+8' Al Musannah 2–0 Ibri
  26. FTFULL TIME Al Musannah 2–0 Ibri
  27. FTAl Musannah 2–0 Ibri · Al Musannah win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Musannah are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Musannah 51%, draw 25%, Ibri 24%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Al Musannah v IbriBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Musannah win51%
Draw25%
Ibri win24%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:55

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Musannah

Ibri

6Days since last match5

Last match: 17 Oct · Professional League

Last match: 18 Oct · Professional League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Ibri5+25
13Al Musannah5−14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al musannah winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
51% The market–
Us51%

We make Al Musannah a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al Musannah v Ibri1.52 – 0.93
Form · Professional League this season · since 30 AugW1 D1 L3 · W1 D2 L2
Table places · points 4 v 513 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Musannah win51%––
Draw25%––
Ibri win24%––
Over 2.5 goals44%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals69%––
Over 3.5 goals23%––
Al Musannah or draw76%––
Al Musannah clean sheet40%––
Ibri clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.5%
0123450 8.6 8.6 3.8 1 13.5 11.5 5.6 2 9.8 8.9 4.2 3 5.1 4.5 2.1 4 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Musannah down, Ibri across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2023/24
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsALM 2–2 IBR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Professional League this season · since 30 Aug

AL MUSANNAH

LLLWD0–1 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 4–1 · 1–1

IBRI

DWLDL0–0 · 4–0 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 2–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Nasr4+612
2Al-Nahda4+610
3Al-Shabab4+79
4Saham509
5Al Seeb4+37
6Bahla406
7Oman Club406
8Smail5−36
9Ibri5+25
10Fanja5−15
11Dhofar5−25
12Sohar5−75
13Al Musannah5−14
14Sur5−100

The competition's standings before kick-off.