Rosenborg W v Brann W prediction · Toppserien

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Rosenborg W 1–1 Brann W BRANN W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Brann W win~~56%

~~The market said~~57%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.963

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.951

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Brann W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rosenborg W 22%, draw 22%, Brann W 56%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Rosenborg W v Brann WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Rosenborg W win22%

Draw22%

Brann W win56%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 19

VenueKoteng Arena

RefereeK. Jensen

Line-ups

Rosenborg W

Brann W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rosenborg W

Brann W

13Days since last match13

Last match: 4 Oct · Toppserien

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Rosenborg W

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Rulyte

44 K. Svanes

31 A. Buberg

4 S. Aunehaugen

30 M. Kokosz

22 C. Nilsen

8 A. Nyberg

14 O. Fuglem

16 I. Berre

10 J. Reeves

23 K. Sodahl

Coach · Robin Shroot

Substitutes

6 · I. Dirdal

7 · M. Rogde

15 · B. Marcussen

19 · R. Holum

20 · U. Borgen

24 · H. Krog

25 · M. Vik

27 · S. Magnusdottir

29 · M. Fuglas

Brann W

Formation not confirmed

1 S. Skoglund

20 J. Birkelund

3 M. Authen

30 J. Tynnila

24 N. Lehtola

16 D. Zomers

28 E. Peuhkurinen

8 K. Haugland

22 L. Davidson

13 B. Lovera

19 M. Isaksen

Coach · Laura Kaminski

Substitutes

4 · E. Brunes

6 · C. Alfredsen

17 · A. Aahjem

21 · S. Stavenes

23 · T. Svendheim

26 · H. Halbmayr

90 · S. Nyamekye

Our number · brann w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

56% The market57%

Us56%

~~Market~~57%

We make Brann W a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.0–1.8.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rosenborg W v Brann W~~1.01 – 1.80

~~Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 15 Aug~~W4 D2 L0 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 38 v 47~~3 v 1

~~The market · Brann W win~~57% · ours 56%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Brann W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rosenborg W win	22%	20%	+2
Draw	22%	23%	−1
Brann W win	56%	57%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	53%	58%	−5
Both teams to score	52%	57%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	76%	80%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	31%	37%	−6
Rosenborg W or draw	44%	43%	+1
Rosenborg W clean sheet	17%	–	–
Brann W clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.3%

0123450 6.0 11.3 9.7 5.8 2.7 1 6.5 10.4 9.4 5.7 2.6 2 3.1 5.4 4.8 2.9 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rosenborg W down, Brann W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 709 Toppserien matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Toppserien matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.5% of games this season, across 110 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.80 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rosenborg W at home: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Brann W away: 3.17 scored, 0.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.01 goals for Rosenborg W, 1.80 for Brann W. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.80

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BRA 1–1 ROS · BRA 2–1 ROS · ROS 0–2 BRA · BRA 3–0 ROS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 15 Aug

ROSENBORG W

WWWWDD2–1 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 1–1

BRANN W

WWWWWL3–0 · 5–1 · 3–0 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 1–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brann W	18	+48	47
2	Fortuna Ålesund W	19	+28	47
3	Rosenborg W	18	+13	38
4	Vålerenga W	18	+21	35
5	Lyn W	19	+11	29
6	Stabæk W	18	+16	27
7	Molde W	18	−13	18
8	Haugesund W	18	−19	18
9	Hønefoss W	18	−14	16
10	LSK Kvinner W	18	−11	15
11	Røa W	19	−20	14
12	Bodø / Glimt W	19	−60	6