Molde W v Bodø / Glimt W prediction · Toppserien

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Molde WDrawBodø / Glimt W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Molde W 68%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Molde W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Molde W 68%, draw 17%, Bodø / Glimt W 15%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Molde W v Bodø / Glimt WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Molde W win68%

Draw17%

Bodø / Glimt W win15%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 21

VenueAker Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Molde W

Bodø / Glimt W

7Days since last match8

Last match: 24 Oct · Toppserien

Last match: 23 Oct · Toppserien

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Molde W	20	−16	18
12	Bodø / Glimt W	20	−61	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · molde w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

68% The market–

Us68%

We make Molde W a 68% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Molde W v Bodø / Glimt W~~2.50 – 1.06

~~Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 11 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 18 v 6~~9 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Molde W win	68%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Bodø / Glimt W win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Molde W or draw	85%	–	–
Molde W clean sheet	35%	–	–
Bodø / Glimt W clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.1%

0123450 2.8 3.5 1 7.7 7.3 4.0 2 8.9 9.1 4.8 3 7.3 7.4 3.9 4 4.6 4.7 2.5 5 2.4 2.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Molde W down, Bodø / Glimt W across0–5 goals a side shown (95.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 719 Toppserien matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Toppserien matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.3% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2025 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Molde W at home: 1.00 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Bodø / Glimt W away: 0.67 scored, 4.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.50 goals for Molde W, 1.06 for Bodø / Glimt W. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~BOD 1–2 MOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 11 Sept

MOLDE W

LLLLLL0–1 · 1–4 · 0–4 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 1–2

BODØ / GLIMT W

LLWLLL0–2 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 1–4 · 1–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brann W	20	+49	51
2	Fortuna Ålesund W	20	+31	50
3	Rosenborg W	20	+15	42
4	Vålerenga W	20	+23	38
5	Lyn W	20	+12	32
6	Stabæk W	20	+14	27
7	Haugesund W	20	−16	24
8	Hønefoss W	20	−15	19
9	Molde W	20	−16	18
10	Røa W	20	−19	17
11	LSK Kvinner W	20	−17	15
12	Bodø / Glimt W	20	−61	6