Haugesund W v Molde W prediction · Toppserien

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Haugesund W 2–0 Molde W HAUGESUND W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Haugesund W win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.446

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Haugesund W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Haugesund W 46%, draw 21%, Molde W 33%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Haugesund W v Molde WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Haugesund W win46%

Draw21%

Molde W win33%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 19

VenueHaugesund Stadion

RefereeM. Ahmady

Line-ups

Haugesund W

Molde W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Haugesund W

Molde W

13Days since last match13

Last match: 4 Oct · Toppserien

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Molde W	18	−13	18
8	Haugesund W	18	−19	18

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Haugesund W

Formation not confirmed

24 F. Aursland

13 L. Brakstad

4 K. Olsen

3 L. Bruno

14 S. Ostenstad

6 K. Nybru

8 H. Ellingsen

32 A. Rasmussen

9 K. Svandal

19 L. Hall

7 M. Abrahamsen

Coach · –

Substitutes

5 · S. Hjertvik

10 · S. Brathen

11 · D. Tolonen

12 · A. Solstrand

17 · E. Guddal

22 · E. Njosen

25 · H. Gravem

44 · C. Mjelde

Molde W

Formation not confirmed

1 K. Caldwell

17 H. Bjastad

4 T. Ose

3 S. Ingadottir

5 H. Vapola

18 E. Zlotnicka

41 S. Gamst

10 I. Warvik

19 S. Tuominen

16 Lee Eun-Young

9 Jeon Yu-Gyeong

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · H. Nygard

7 · S. Mahle

22 · I. Lovseth

23 · A. Outzen

31 · E. Kristiansen

38 · K. Vestavik

Our number · haugesund w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Haugesund W a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Haugesund W v Molde W~~1.95 – 1.62

~~Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 15 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 18 v 18~~8 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Haugesund W win	46%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Molde W win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Haugesund W or draw	67%	–	–
Haugesund W clean sheet	21%	–	–
Molde W clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.6%

0123450 2.9 5.1 3.9 2.1 1 6.0 8.6 7.0 3.8 2 5.4 8.3 6.6 3.6 3 3.5 5.4 4.2 2.3 4 2.7 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Haugesund W down, Molde W across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 709 Toppserien matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Toppserien matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.5% of games this season, across 110 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025 in every competition we cover, 4.33 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Haugesund W at home: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Molde W away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.95 goals for Haugesund W, 1.62 for Molde W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.33

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~3 of 3

~~Last meetings~~MOL 3–3 HAU · MOL 2–1 HAU · HAU 3–1 MOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 15 Aug

HAUGESUND W

DLLLWL1–1 · 1–5 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 3–4

MOLDE W

DWLLLL1–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 0–4 · 0–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brann W	18	+48	47
2	Fortuna Ålesund W	19	+28	47
3	Rosenborg W	18	+13	38
4	Vålerenga W	18	+21	35
5	Lyn W	19	+11	29
6	Stabæk W	18	+16	27
7	Molde W	18	−13	18
8	Haugesund W	18	−19	18
9	Hønefoss W	18	−14	16
10	LSK Kvinner W	18	−11	15
11	Røa W	19	−20	14
12	Bodø / Glimt W	19	−60	6