Haugesund W v Hønefoss W prediction · Toppserien

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Haugesund WDrawHønefoss W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Haugesund W 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Haugesund W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Haugesund W 49%, draw 23%, Hønefoss W 27%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Haugesund W v Hønefoss WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Haugesund W win49%

Draw23%

Hønefoss W win27%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 21

VenueHaugesund Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Haugesund W

Hønefoss W

8Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Toppserien

Last match: 24 Oct · Toppserien

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Haugesund W	20	−16	24
8	Hønefoss W	20	−15	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · haugesund w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Haugesund W a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Haugesund W v Hønefoss W~~1.67 – 1.17

~~Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 24 v 19~~7 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Haugesund W win	49%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Hønefoss W win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Haugesund W or draw	73%	–	–
Haugesund W clean sheet	32%	–	–
Hønefoss W clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 5.8 7.4 4.1 1 10.4 10.8 6.5 2.6 2 8.1 9.2 5.3 2.1 3 4.6 5.1 3.0 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Haugesund W down, Hønefoss W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 719 Toppserien matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Toppserien matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.3% of games this season, across 120 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2025 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Haugesund W at home: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Hønefoss W away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Haugesund W, 1.17 for Hønefoss W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~HON 2–3 HAU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 13 Sept

HAUGESUND W

LLWLWW0–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 3–4 · 2–0 · 2–1

HØNEFOSS W

WDDWWL1–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 0–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brann W	20	+49	51
2	Fortuna Ålesund W	20	+31	50
3	Rosenborg W	20	+15	42
4	Vålerenga W	20	+23	38
5	Lyn W	20	+12	32
6	Stabæk W	20	+14	27
7	Haugesund W	20	−16	24
8	Hønefoss W	20	−15	19
9	Molde W	20	−16	18
10	Røa W	20	−19	17
11	LSK Kvinner W	20	−17	15
12	Bodø / Glimt W	20	−61	6