Fortuna Ålesund W v Røa W prediction · Toppserien

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 01:40

Fortuna Ålesund W 1–0 Røa W FORTUNA ÅLESUND W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Fortuna Ålesund W win~~78%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.076

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Fortuna Ålesund W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Fortuna Ålesund W 78%, draw 14%, Røa W 8%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Fortuna Ålesund W v Røa WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Fortuna Ålesund W win78%

Draw14%

Røa W win8%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 19

VenueColor Line Stadion

Line-ups

Fortuna Ålesund W

Røa W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Fortuna Ålesund W

Røa W

12Days since last match12

Last match: 4 Oct · Toppserien

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Fortuna Ålesund W	18	+27	44
11	Røa W	18	−19	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Fortuna Ålesund W

Formation not confirmed

24 M. Smith

6 D. Gudnadottir

3 M. Muri

2 S. Helgesen

13 M. Saeteroy

10 L. Gashi

11 I. Kroken

23 T. Loennecken

8 I. Skretting

9 K. Sunde

7 I. Nodland

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · M. Kroken

16 · R. Renolen

17 · N. Haheim

18 · I. Jastad

20 · K. Solskjaer

21 · H. Aurbekkholen

22 · A. Drozdzik

Røa W

Formation not confirmed

1 U. Langkas

10 O. De Courcy

4 S. Bloch-Hansen

14 R. Svastuen

3 S. Suphellen

15 E. Amlie

16 S. Krossoy

7 E. Ulstein

6 M. Waehler

9 M. Folland

19 K. Rosenlund

Coach · Fredrik Saeland

Substitutes

5 · I. Sundsbo

23 · T. Buvarp

27 · K. Tufte

33 · M. Holtet

99 · A. Skala

Our number · fortuna ålesund w winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

78% The market–

Us78%

We make Fortuna Ålesund W a 78% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Fortuna Ålesund W v Røa W~~2.68 – 0.71

~~Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 21 Aug~~W5 D1 L0 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 44 v 14~~2 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fortuna Ålesund W win	78%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Røa W win	8%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Fortuna Ålesund W or draw	92%	–	–
Fortuna Ålesund W clean sheet	50%	–	–
Røa W clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.9%

0123450 3.7 2.8 1 9.5 6.5 2.4 2 11.9 8.2 3.0 3 10.4 7.1 2.5 4 7.0 4.7 5 4.0 2.6

under 2% 5% 12%+Fortuna Ålesund W down, Røa W across0–5 goals a side shown (93.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 707 Toppserien matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Toppserien matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.8% of games this season, across 108 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2022 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Fortuna Ålesund W at home: 3.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Røa W away: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.68 goals for Fortuna Ålesund W, 0.71 for Røa W. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~ROA 2–3 FOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 21 Aug

FORTUNA ÅLESUND W

WWWWDW5–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 2–1

RØA W

LLLDLW1–5 · 1–3 · 3–6 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brann W	18	+48	47
2	Fortuna Ålesund W	18	+27	44
3	Rosenborg W	18	+13	38
4	Vålerenga W	18	+21	35
5	Stabæk W	18	+16	27
6	Lyn W	18	+8	26
7	Molde W	18	−13	18
8	Haugesund W	18	−19	18
9	Hønefoss W	18	−14	16
10	LSK Kvinner W	18	−11	15
11	Røa W	18	−19	14
12	Bodø / Glimt W	18	−57	6