Fortuna Ålesund W v LSK Kvinner W prediction · Toppserien

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Fortuna Ålesund WDrawLSK Kvinner W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Fortuna Ålesund W 69%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Fortuna Ålesund W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Fortuna Ålesund W 69%, draw 17%, LSK Kvinner W 14%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Fortuna Ålesund W v LSK Kvinner WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Fortuna Ålesund W win69%

Draw17%

LSK Kvinner W win14%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 20

VenueColor Line Stadion

RefereeM. Holthe

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Fortuna Ålesund W

LSK Kvinner W

8Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Toppserien

Last match: 17 Oct · Toppserien

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Fortuna Ålesund W	19	+28	47
10	LSK Kvinner W	19	−14	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fortuna ålesund w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:10 · locked at kick-off

69% The market–

Us69%

We make Fortuna Ålesund W a 69% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Fortuna Ålesund W v LSK Kvinner W~~2.47 – 0.99

~~Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 31 Aug~~W5 D1 L0 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 47 v 15~~2 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Fortuna Ålesund W win

Published at 68%, 69% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fortuna Ålesund W win	69%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
LSK Kvinner W win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Fortuna Ålesund W or draw	86%	–	–
Fortuna Ålesund W clean sheet	38%	–	–
LSK Kvinner W clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.4%

0123450 3.2 3.7 1 8.2 7.5 3.9 2 9.4 9.0 4.5 3 7.6 7.2 3.6 4 4.8 4.5 2.2 5 2.6 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Fortuna Ålesund W down, LSK Kvinner W across0–5 goals a side shown (95.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 714 Toppserien matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Toppserien matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.5% of games this season, across 115 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2022 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Fortuna Ålesund W at home: 3.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). LSK Kvinner W away: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.47 goals for Fortuna Ålesund W, 0.99 for LSK Kvinner W. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~LSK 0–3 FOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 31 Aug

FORTUNA ÅLESUND W

WWWDWW1–0 · 2–0 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–0

LSK KVINNER W

DLLLLL1–1 · 1–5 · 2–3 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brann W	19	+48	48
2	Fortuna Ålesund W	19	+28	47
3	Rosenborg W	19	+13	39
4	Vålerenga W	19	+24	38
5	Lyn W	19	+11	29
6	Stabæk W	19	+15	27
7	Haugesund W	20	−16	24
8	Hønefoss W	19	−13	19
9	Molde W	19	−15	18
10	LSK Kvinner W	19	−14	15
11	Røa W	19	−20	14
12	Bodø / Glimt W	20	−61	6