Bodø / Glimt W v Lyn W prediction · Toppserien

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 01:40

Bodø / Glimt W 1–4 Lyn W LYN W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Lyn W win~~67%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.163

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lyn W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bodø / Glimt W 16%, draw 17%, Lyn W 67%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Bodø / Glimt W v Lyn WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Bodø / Glimt W win16%

Draw17%

Lyn W win67%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 19

VenueAspmyra Stadion

Line-ups

Bodø / Glimt W

Lyn W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bodø / Glimt W

Lyn W

12Days since last match12

Last match: 4 Oct · Toppserien

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Lyn W	18	+8	26
12	Bodø / Glimt W	18	−57	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Bodø / Glimt W

Formation not confirmed

12 M. Moran

8 M. Theting

4 R. Kutella

20 V. Saethre

2 A. Sannes

13 C. Cagnina

6 V. Groseth

11 I. Neset

18 A. Johansen

19 I. Jenkins

21 S. Foley

Coach · Maja Bonsaksen

Substitutes

1 · M. Johansson

3 · E. Saether

9 · L. Dissing

10 · G. Johansen

15 · C. Wold

17 · C. Falch

26 · K. Rengard

27 · S. Tommeras

Lyn W

Formation not confirmed

1 K. Odden

17 T. Mikkelsen

4 V. Aasprang

2 I. Andreassen

19 T. Hodne

24 M. Dalsgard

14 M. Fredo

23 K. Holmen

16 K. Pettersen

32 M. Prestegaard

9 I. Birkelund

Coach · August Nyland

Substitutes

99 · T. Strand Nilsen

20 · M. Berget

21 · T. Lindvik

22 · I. Habbestad

30 · E. Stefanska

Our number · lyn w winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Lyn W a 67% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.5, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bodø / Glimt W v Lyn W~~1.10 – 2.49

~~Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 20 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 6 v 26~~12 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bodø / Glimt W win	16%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Lyn W win	67%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Bodø / Glimt W or draw	33%	–	–
Bodø / Glimt W clean sheet	9%	–	–
Lyn W clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.1%

0123450 2.8 7.3 8.5 6.9 4.4 2.31 3.4 7.5 9.1 7.4 4.6 2.42 4.2 5.0 4.0 2.5 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bodø / Glimt W down, Lyn W across0–5 goals a side shown (95.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 707 Toppserien matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Toppserien matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.8% of games this season, across 108 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024 in every competition we cover, 3.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bodø / Glimt W at home: 0.67 scored, 3.17 conceded a game (last 6). Lyn W away: 1.33 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Bodø / Glimt W, 2.49 for Lyn W. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~LYN 9–0 BOD · BOD 1–2 LYN · BOD 2–1 LYN · LYN 0–0 BOD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 20 Aug

BODØ / GLIMT W

LDLLWL1–7 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 0–3

LYN W

LWLWDW2–3 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 4–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brann W	18	+48	47
2	Fortuna Ålesund W	18	+27	44
3	Rosenborg W	18	+13	38
4	Vålerenga W	18	+21	35
5	Stabæk W	18	+16	27
6	Lyn W	18	+8	26
7	Molde W	18	−13	18
8	Haugesund W	18	−19	18
9	Hønefoss W	18	−14	16
10	LSK Kvinner W	18	−11	15
11	Røa W	18	−19	14
12	Bodø / Glimt W	18	−57	6