Bodø / Glimt W v Haugesund W prediction · Toppserien

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 01:30

Bodø / Glimt W 1–2 Haugesund W HAUGESUND W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Haugesund W win~~63%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.201

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Haugesund W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bodø / Glimt W 19%, draw 17%, Haugesund W 63%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Bodø / Glimt W v Haugesund WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Bodø / Glimt W win19%

Draw17%

Haugesund W win63%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 20

VenueAspmyra Stadion

RefereeM. Berg

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bodø / Glimt W

Haugesund W

7Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · Toppserien

Last match: 17 Oct · Toppserien

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Haugesund W	19	−17	21
12	Bodø / Glimt W	19	−60	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · haugesund w winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 18 Oct 02:10 · locked at kick-off

63% The market–

Us63%

We make Haugesund W a 63% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.5, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bodø / Glimt W v Haugesund W~~1.29 – 2.51

~~Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 22 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 6 v 21~~12 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Haugesund W win

Published at 61%, 63% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bodø / Glimt W win	19%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Haugesund W win	63%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
Bodø / Glimt W or draw	37%	–	–
Bodø / Glimt W clean sheet	9%	–	–
Haugesund W clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.8%

0123450 2.2 6.1 7.0 5.8 3.7 1 3.4 7.1 8.8 7.2 4.5 2.42 4.7 5.6 4.6 2.9 3 2.1 2.5 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bodø / Glimt W down, Haugesund W across0–5 goals a side shown (94.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 713 Toppserien matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Toppserien matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games this season, across 114 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2025 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bodø / Glimt W at home: 0.83 scored, 3.17 conceded a game (last 6). Haugesund W away: 1.50 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.29 goals for Bodø / Glimt W, 2.51 for Haugesund W. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~HAU 2–1 BOD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Toppserien this season · since 22 Aug

BODØ / GLIMT W

DLLWLL1–1 · 0–2 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 1–4

HAUGESUND W

LLLWLW1–5 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 3–4 · 2–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brann W	19	+48	48
2	Fortuna Ålesund W	19	+28	47
3	Rosenborg W	19	+13	39
4	Vålerenga W	19	+24	38
5	Lyn W	19	+11	29
6	Stabæk W	19	+15	27
7	Haugesund W	19	−17	21
8	Hønefoss W	19	−13	19
9	Molde W	19	−15	18
10	LSK Kvinner W	19	−14	15
11	Røa W	19	−20	14
12	Bodø / Glimt W	19	−60	6