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Model 1.2

Home › Football › NM Cupen › Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga

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Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga

Sarpsborg 08 FF
17:00Upcoming
Valerenga

NM Cupen · WED 28 OCT · Sarpsborg Stadion

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sarpsborg 08 FFDrawValerenga
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Sarpsborg 08 FF 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sarpsborg 08 FF are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sarpsborg 08 FF 50%, draw 22%, Valerenga 28%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Sarpsborg 08 FF v ValerengaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Sarpsborg 08 FF win50%
Draw22%
Valerenga win28%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00

RoundRound of 32

VenueSarpsborg Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Valerenga

10Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · Eliteserien

Last match: 24 Oct · Eliteserien

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sarpsborg 08 ff winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
50% The market–
Us50%

We make Sarpsborg 08 FF a 50% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sarpsborg 08 FF v Valerenga1.99 – 1.45
Form · NM Cupen this season · since 22 AugW2 D0 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sarpsborg 08 FF win50%––
Draw22%––
Valerenga win28%––
Over 2.5 goals66%––
Both teams to score66%––
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals45%––
Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw72%––
Sarpsborg 08 FF clean sheet24%––
Valerenga clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.3%
0123450 3.5 4.6 3.4 1 6.3 9.3 6.6 3.2 2 6.3 9.0 6.5 3.2 3 4.2 6.0 4.3 2.1 4 2.1 3.0 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sarpsborg 08 FF down, Valerenga across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.70
Over 2.57 of 10
Both scored7 of 10
Last meetingsSAR 2–2 VAL · VAL 3–2 SAR · VAL 4–0 SAR · SAR 1–1 VAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · NM Cupen this season · since 22 Aug

SARPSBORG 08 FF

WW2–0 · 2–0

VALERENGA

WW7–2 · 4–1