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Model 1.2

Home › Football › NM Cupen › Ranheim v Fredrikstad

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Ranheim v Fredrikstad

Ranheim
17:00Upcoming
Fredrikstad

NM Cupen · WED 28 OCT · EXTRA Arena

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RanheimDrawFredrikstad
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Fredrikstad 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Fredrikstad are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ranheim 21%, draw 22%, Fredrikstad 57%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Ranheim v FredrikstadBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Ranheim win21%
Draw22%
Fredrikstad win57%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00

RoundRound of 32

VenueEXTRA Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ranheim

Fredrikstad

4Days since last match11

Last match: 24 Oct · the Norwegian 1. Division

Last match: 17 Oct · Eliteserien

3Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fredrikstad winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
57% The market–
Us57%

We make Fredrikstad a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Ranheim v Fredrikstad1.18 – 2.03
Form · NM Cupen this season · since 22 AugW2 D0 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ranheim win21%––
Draw22%––
Fredrikstad win57%––
Over 2.5 goals62%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals40%––
Ranheim or draw43%––
Ranheim clean sheet13%––
Fredrikstad clean sheet31%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%
0123450 4.4 7.9 8.3 5.6 2.8 1 4.5 10.0 9.8 6.6 3.4 2 2.8 5.7 5.8 3.9 3 2.3 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ranheim down, Fredrikstad across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.33
Over 2.54 of 6
Both scored5 of 6
Last meetingsRAN 1–2 FRE · FRE 4–0 RAN · FRE 1–1 RAN · RAN 3–2 FRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · NM Cupen this season · since 22 Aug

RANHEIM

WW6–0 · 2–0

FREDRIKSTAD

WW7–1 · 1–0