Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › NM Cupen › Molde v Stromsgodset

Back
Norway flag

Molde v Stromsgodset

Molde
17:00Upcoming
Stromsgodset

NM Cupen · WED 28 OCT · Aker Stadion

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

MoldeDrawStromsgodset
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Molde 64%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Molde are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Molde 64%, draw 19%, Stromsgodset 18%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Molde v StromsgodsetBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Molde win64%
Draw19%
Stromsgodset win18%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00

RoundRound of 32

VenueAker Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Molde

Stromsgodset

10Days since last match10

Last match: 18 Oct · Eliteserien

Last match: 18 Oct · the Norwegian 1. Division

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · molde winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
64% The market–
Us64%

We make Molde a 64% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Molde v Stromsgodset2.47 – 1.27
Form · NM Cupen this season · since 22 AugW2 D0 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Molde win64%––
Draw19%––
Stromsgodset win18%––
Over 2.5 goals72%––
Both teams to score66%––
Over 1.5 goals89%––
Over 3.5 goals51%––
Molde or draw82%––
Molde clean sheet28%––
Stromsgodset clean sheet8%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%
0123450 2.6 2.8 1 5.6 7.7 4.7 2 7.3 9.2 5.8 2.5 3 6.0 7.6 4.8 2.0 4 3.7 4.7 3.0 5 2.3
under 2% 5% 12%+Molde down, Stromsgodset across0–5 goals a side shown (95.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.30
Over 2.57 of 10
Both scored6 of 10
Last meetingsSTR 1–1 MOL · STR 3–1 MOL · MOL 4–1 STR · STR 1–0 MOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · NM Cupen this season · since 22 Aug

MOLDE

WW11–0 · 5–0

STROMSGODSET

WW6–0 · 4–1