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Lillestrom v Sogndal

Lillestrom
17:00Upcoming
Sogndal

NM Cupen · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

LillestromDrawSogndal
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Lillestrom 78%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lillestrom are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lillestrom 78%, draw 14%, Sogndal 8%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Lillestrom v SogndalBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Lillestrom win78%
Draw14%
Sogndal win8%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lillestrom

Sogndal

6Days since last match7

Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League

Last match: 21 Oct · the Norwegian 1. Division

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lillestrom winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 23 Oct 00:16 · locked at kick-off
78% The market–
Us78%

We make Lillestrom a 78% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Lillestrom v Sogndal2.80 – 0.86
Form · NM Cupen this season · since 21 AugW2 D0 L0 · W1 D1 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
75%80% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 07:17
Our probability · Lillestrom win

Published at 79%, 78% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Lillestrom win78%––
Draw14%––
Sogndal win8%––
Over 2.5 goals71%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals88%––
Over 3.5 goals50%––
Lillestrom or draw92%––
Lillestrom clean sheet42%––
Sogndal clean sheet6%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.1%
0123450 2.8 1 7.0 6.4 2.6 2 10.1 8.7 3.7 3 9.5 8.1 3.5 4 6.6 5.7 2.4 5 3.7 3.2
under 2% 5% 12%+Lillestrom down, Sogndal across0–5 goals a side shown (93.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsSOG 1–5 LIL · LIL 0–0 SOG · SOG 1–2 LIL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · NM Cupen this season · since 21 Aug

LILLESTROM

WW3–0 · 5–1

SOGNDAL

WD8–0 · 1–1