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Model 1.2

Home › Football › NM Cupen › Kristiansund BK v Aalesund

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Kristiansund BK v Aalesund

Kristiansund BK
17:00Upcoming
Aalesund

NM Cupen · WED 28 OCT · Kristiansund Stadion

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kristiansund BKDrawAalesund
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Kristiansund BK 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kristiansund BK are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kristiansund BK 43%, draw 23%, Aalesund 34%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Kristiansund BK v AalesundBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Kristiansund BK win43%
Draw23%
Aalesund win34%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00

RoundRound of 32

VenueKristiansund Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kristiansund BK

Aalesund

11Days since last match11

Last match: 17 Oct · Eliteserien

Last match: 17 Oct · Eliteserien

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kristiansund bk winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Kristiansund BK a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kristiansund BK v Aalesund1.72 – 1.52
Form · NM Cupen this season · since 22 AugW2 D0 L0 · W1 D1 L0

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kristiansund BK win43%––
Draw23%––
Aalesund win34%––
Over 2.5 goals63%––
Both teams to score64%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals41%––
Kristiansund BK or draw66%––
Kristiansund BK clean sheet22%––
Aalesund clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.2%
0123450 4.1 6.0 4.6 2.3 1 6.7 10.2 7.6 3.9 2 5.8 8.6 6.5 3.3 3 3.3 5.0 3.7 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kristiansund BK down, Aalesund across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsKRI 1–4 AAL · AAL 1–1 KRI · KRI 4–0 AAL · AAL 1–0 KRI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · NM Cupen this season · since 22 Aug

KRISTIANSUND BK

WW5–0 · 2–1

AALESUND

WD13–0 · 2–2