Valerenga v Brann

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Brann win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Brann was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 35–23–42
3. 1′KICK-OFF Valerenga v Brann
4. 15′PENALTY MISSED · 14' Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren · Valerenga
5. 37′We said Brann at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 1–0 · 63–22–15
6. 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Valerenga 1–0 Brann
7. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Brann win: 42% at kick-off, 15% now
8. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Valerenga win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Brann win 15%)
9. 38′36′: Sebastian Jarl on the scoresheet for Valerenga, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 63–22–15
10. 39′We said Brann at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 63–22–14
11. 45′11 shots for Valerenga, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 31–34–35
12. 45′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 1–1 · 31–34–35
13. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Valerenga 1–1 Brann
14. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Brann win: 42% at kick-off, 35% now
15. 45′HALF-TIME Valerenga 1–1 Brann
16. 45′SECOND HALF Valerenga 1–1 Brann
17. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Brann · On: Noah Jean Holm · Off: Fredrik Knudsen
18. 46′Brann level it on 44′ through Kristian Eriksen. 1–1. 1–1 · 31–34–35
19. 47′Valerenga have had 12 attempts to 5 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 30–35–35
20. 53′Valerenga have had 16 attempts to 7 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 29–38–33
21. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Valerenga win 29%)
22. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Valerenga · On: Fidel Brice Ambina · Off: Ghayas Zahid
23. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Håkon Sjåtil · Valerenga
24. 60′We said Brann at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 27–43–30
25. 61′We said Brann at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 2–1 · 70–22–8
26. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Valerenga 2–1 Brann
27. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Brann win: 42% at kick-off, 8% now
28. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Valerenga win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 22%)
29. 63′Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren scores for Valerenga on 62′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 71–22–7
30. 71′We said Brann at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 76–20–4
31. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Brann · On: Jonas Tviberg Torsvik · Off: Thore Pedersen
32. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Brann win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
33. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Valerenga · On: Ivan Nasberg · Off: Carl Lange
34. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Valerenga · On: Håvard Nielsen · Off: Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter
35. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Brann · On: Vetle Winger Dragsnes · Off: Neraysho Kasanwirjo
36. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Brann · On: Bård Finne · Off: Saevar Atli Magnusson
37. 81′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 99–1–0
38. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Valerenga 3–1 Brann
39. 83′81′: Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren on the scoresheet for Valerenga, making it 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
40. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Valerenga · On: Kevin Ngoyi Tshiembe · Off: Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren
41. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Valerenga · On: Gabriel Rajkovic · Off: Håkon Sjåtil
42. 96′Full time, 3–1. We called Brann at 42% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 3–1 · 100–0–0
43. FTFULL TIME Valerenga 3–1 Brann
44. FTValerenga 3–1 Brann · Brann win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.