Kristiansund BK v KFUM Oslo prediction · Eliteserien

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kristiansund BKDrawKFUM Oslo

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · KFUM Oslo 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with KFUM Oslo just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Kristiansund BK 35%, draw 26%, KFUM Oslo 39%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Kristiansund BK v KFUM OsloBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Kristiansund BK win35%

Draw26%

KFUM Oslo win39%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueKristiansund Stadion

RefereeSvein Tore Sinnes

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kristiansund BK

KFUM Oslo

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Eliteserien

Last match: 18 Oct · Eliteserien

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	KFUM Oslo	23	−9	29
15	Kristiansund BK	23	−24	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kfum oslo winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

39% The market33%

Us39%

~~Market~~33%

We make KFUM Oslo a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 33%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kristiansund BK v KFUM Oslo~~1.27 – 1.35

~~Form · last six in Eliteserien this season · since 30 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 19 v 29~~15 v 10

~~The market · KFUM Oslo win~~33% · ours 39%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · KFUM Oslo win The market, margin stripped

Published at 38%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 33% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kristiansund BK win	35%	40%	−5
Draw	26%	27%	−1
KFUM Oslo win	39%	33%	+6
Over 2.5 goals	48%	54%	−6
Both teams to score	53%	59%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	73%	76%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	27%	34%	−7
Kristiansund BK or draw	61%	67%	−6
Kristiansund BK clean sheet	26%	–	–
KFUM Oslo clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 7.5 9.8 6.6 3.0 1 9.2 12.4 8.3 3.7 2 5.9 7.8 5.2 2.4 3 2.5 3.3 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kristiansund BK down, KFUM Oslo across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,394 Eliteserien matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Eliteserien matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.8% of games this season, across 186 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 2.71 goals a meeting; 3 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kristiansund BK at home: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). KFUM Oslo away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.27 goals for Kristiansund BK, 1.35 for KFUM Oslo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.71

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 7

~~Both scored~~4 of 7

~~Last meetings~~KFU 2–1 KRI · KFU 1–1 KRI · KRI 0–5 KFU · KFU 1–2 KRI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Eliteserien this season · since 30 Aug

KRISTIANSUND BK

DWLLLL2–2 · 2–0 · 1–8 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 1–4

KFUM OSLO

LLWWWD1–4 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Viking	23	+37	56
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	+37	56
3	Molde	23	+17	40
4	Rosenborg	24	+15	40
5	Tromso	23	+11	40
6	Lillestrom	23	+1	36
7	Brann	23	+3	29
8	Valerenga	24	−7	29
9	Fredrikstad	23	−8	29
10	KFUM Oslo	23	−9	29
11	Sarpsborg 08 FF	23	−6	28
12	Ham-Kam	24	−18	26
13	Sandefjord	23	−8	24
14	Aalesund	23	−12	24
15	Kristiansund BK	23	−24	19
16	Start	23	−29	16