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Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
AalesundEliteserien · SAT 17 OCT · Kristiansund Stadion
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kristiansund BK win at 46%.
- 5′Little has changed for our model: Kristiansund BK 46% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–24–31
- 5′KICK-OFF Kristiansund BK v Aalesund
- 8′Little has changed for our model: Kristiansund BK 46% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–25–31
- 18′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Aalesund
- 28′We said Kristiansund BK at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 1–0 · 71–19–11
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Kristiansund BK 1–0 Aalesund
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Kristiansund BK win: 46% at kick-off, 71% now
- 29′Kristiansund BK ahead on 27′ through David Tufekcic. 1–0. 1–0 · 71–19–11
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 71–19–11
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Kristiansund BK 1–1 Aalesund
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Kristiansund BK win: 46% at kick-off, 40% now
- 39′Marcus Reed scores for Aalesund on 36′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 39–33–28
- 45′HALF-TIME Kristiansund BK 1–1 Aalesund
- 46′SECOND HALF Kristiansund BK 1–1 Aalesund
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+3' Kristiansund BK win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Kristiansund BK win 35%)
- 54′We said Kristiansund BK at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–40–25
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Aalesund · On: Endre Osenbroch · Off: Sander Erik Kartum
- 64′We said Kristiansund BK at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–49–22
- 66′We said Kristiansund BK at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 1–2 · 6–22–72
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Kristiansund BK 1–2 Aalesund
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Kristiansund BK win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Aalesund win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 22%)
- 67′65′: Marcus Reed on the scoresheet for Aalesund, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 6–22–73
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kristiansund BK · On: Gustav Ørsøe Christensen · Off: Sander Svendsen
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Aalesund · On: Jakob Nyland Örsahl · Off: Uba Charles Nwokoma
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Aalesund · On: Paul Ngongo · Off: Marcus Reed
- 71′We said Kristiansund BK at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–76
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 69' David Tufekcic · Kristiansund BK
- 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–2–98
- 77′Aalesund ahead on 76′ through Paul Ngongo. 1–3. 1–3 · 0–2–98
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Kristiansund BK 1–3 Aalesund
- 81′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Endre Osenbroch · Aalesund
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Aalesund · On: Stefano Vecchia · Off: Isak Gabriel Skotheim
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Kristiansund BK · On: Max Normann Williamsen · Off: Wilfred George Igor
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Kristiansund BK · On: Adrian Kurd Rønning · Off: Julius Mar Juliusson Corrected
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Kristiansund BK · On: John Kitolano · Off: Zymer Bytyqi Corrected
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Kristiansund BK 1–4 Aalesund · Mathias Christensen
- 90′Mathias Christensen scores for Aalesund on 88′ — 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- 90′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' John Kitolano · Kristiansund BK
- FTFULL TIME Kristiansund BK 1–4 Aalesund
- FTKristiansund BK 1–4 Aalesund · Kristiansund BK win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassKristiansund BK are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Kristiansund BK 46%, draw 23%, Aalesund 31%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 62%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Kristiansund BK win46%
Aalesund win31%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 24
VenueKristiansund Stadion
RefereeMischa Kellerhals
Match timeline
All events
Kristiansund BKMIN
AalesundEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Kristiansund BK
4-2-3-1
Aalesund
5-3-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Last match: 10 Oct · Eliteserien
Last match: 11 Oct · Eliteserien
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Kristiansund BK
4-2-3-1
1 M. Lansing
59 M. Elvius
4 J. Juliusson
5 D. Ulvestad
6 J. Isaksen
10 H. Bruseth
20 W. Igor
16 D. Tufekcic
7 S. Svendsen
11 Z. Bytyqi
19 L. Alvheim
Coach · Amund Skiri
Substitutes
12 · A. Saether
25 · J. Kitolano
22 · H. Haugen
17 · M. Williamsen
3 · F. Flex
23 · T. Svendsen
14 · S. Skeide
27 · A. Ronning
24 · G. Christensen
Aalesund
5-3-2
1 L. Podlech
7 K. Nesso
2 M. Andresen
28 D. Mbacke
3 O. Gudmundsson
14 U. Charles
21 M. Christensen
18 E. Hagen
19 S. Kartum
8 I. Skotheim
27 M. Reed
Coach · Kjetil-Andre Rekdal
Substitutes
26 · T. Larsen
16 · J. Orsahl
10 · M. Kristensen
22 · E. Engqvist
38 · T. Leikanger
23 · S. Vecchia
15 · E. Osenbroch
9 · P. Ngongo
17 · E. Myrlid
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Kristiansund BK
4-2-3-1
1 M. Lansing
59 M. Elvius
4 J. Juliusson
5 D. Ulvestad
6 J. Isaksen
10 H. Bruseth
20 W. Igor
16 D. Tufekcic
7 S. Svendsen
11 Z. Bytyqi
19 L. Alvheim
Coach · Amund Skiri
Substitutes
12 · A. Saether
25 · J. Kitolano
22 · H. Haugen
17 · M. Williamsen
3 · F. Flex
23 · T. Svendsen
14 · S. Skeide
27 · A. Ronning
24 · G. Christensen
Aalesund
5-3-2
1 L. Podlech
7 K. Nesso
2 M. Andresen
28 D. Mbacke
3 O. Gudmundsson
14 U. Charles
21 M. Christensen
18 E. Hagen
19 S. Kartum
8 I. Skotheim
27 M. Reed
Coach · Kjetil-Andre Rekdal
Substitutes
26 · T. Larsen
16 · J. Orsahl
10 · M. Kristensen
22 · E. Engqvist
38 · T. Leikanger
23 · S. Vecchia
15 · E. Osenbroch
9 · P. Ngongo
17 · E. Myrlid
We make Kristiansund BK a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 45%, 46% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kristiansund BK win | 46% | 39% | +7 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| Aalesund win | 31% | 36% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 62% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 62% | 65% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 82% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 41% | −2 |
| Kristiansund BK or draw | 69% | 64% | +5 |
| Kristiansund BK clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Aalesund clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Eliteserien this season · since 16 Aug
KRISTIANSUND BK
AALESUND
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 22 | +36 | 53 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | +36 | 53 |
| 3 | Tromso | 22 | +11 | 39 |
| 4 | Molde | 22 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 22 | −1 | 33 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | −7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | −3 | 28 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 22 | −9 | 28 |
| 11 | Ham-Kam | 22 | −13 | 26 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | −6 | 24 |
| 13 | Valerenga | 22 | −10 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 22 | −15 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 22 | −21 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 22 | −24 | 16 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Viking
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso
Molde
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
Brann
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
Ham-Kam
Sandefjord
Valerenga
Start