Home › Football › Eliteserien › Ham-Kam v Rosenborg
Back

Ham-Kam v Rosenborg
Ham-Kam
RosenborgEliteserien · SAT 24 OCT · Briskeby
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Rosenborg win at 45%.
- 2′KICK-OFF Ham-Kam v Rosenborg
- 3′Little has changed for our model: Rosenborg 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 31–24–45
- 31′Rosenborg have had 7 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 29–30–41
- 38′8 shots for Rosenborg, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 29–32–39
- 43′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Luc Mares · Ham-Kam
- 45′SECOND HALF Ham-Kam 0–0 Rosenborg
- 47′12 shots for Rosenborg, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 27–36–36
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Ham-Kam · On: Duarte Moreira · Off: Mohamed Ofkir
- 48′HALF-TIME Ham-Kam 0–0 Rosenborg
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Rosenborg win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Rosenborg win 37%)
- 55′We said Rosenborg at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 25–41–33
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.2 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 25–41–33
- 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Noah Sahsah · Rosenborg
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Leopold Wahlstedt · Rosenborg
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Rosenborg · On: Jesper Reitan Sunde · Off: Noah Sahsah
- 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Patrick Metcalfe · Ham-Kam
- 64′We said Rosenborg at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 22–49–29
- 68′We said Rosenborg at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Ham-Kam 0–1 Rosenborg
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Rosenborg win: 45% at kick-off, 80% now
- 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Rosenborg win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 53%)
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Ham-Kam · On: Danilo Al-Saed · Off: David Benjamin
- 71′Rosenborg ahead on 69′ through an own goal by Luc Mares. 0–1. 0–1 · 3–16–81
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Rosenborg · On: Mathias Ullereng Kjolo · Off: Jonas Svensson
- 74′We said Rosenborg at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 0–2 · 0–2–98
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Ham-Kam 0–2 Rosenborg
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Rosenborg win: 45% at kick-off, 98% now
- 75′Amin Chiakha scores for Rosenborg on 75′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–2–98
- 77′Amin Chiakha scores for Rosenborg on 74′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 84′We said Rosenborg at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Ham-Kam · On: João Paulo Rodrigues Barros · Off: Aleksander Andresen
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Ham-Kam · On: Loris Mettler · Off: Luc Mares
- 89′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Ham-Kam 0–3 Rosenborg
- 90′89′: Emil Konradsen Ceide on the scoresheet for Rosenborg, making it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Rosenborg · On: Dino Islamović · Off: Amin Chiakha
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Rosenborg · On: Maciej Soboczynski · Off: Emil Konradsen Ceide
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Snorre Strand Nilsen · Ham-Kam
- 94′0–3 at the end. Our 45% on Rosenborg comes in. 0–3 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Ham-Kam 0–3 Rosenborg
- FTHam-Kam 0–3 Rosenborg · Rosenborg win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Rosenborg are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Ham-Kam 31%, draw 23%, Rosenborg 45%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 62%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Ham-Kam win31%
Rosenborg win45%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueBriskeby
RefereeStian Rovig Sletner
Match timeline
All events
Ham-KamMIN
RosenborgEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Ham-Kam
5-3-2
Rosenborg
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Ham-Kam
Rosenborg
Last match: 17 Oct · Eliteserien
Last match: 18 Oct · Eliteserien
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Ham-Kam
5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg
22 S. Nilsen
2 M. Gjone
23 F. Sjølstad
3 E. Amundsen-Day
5 A. Andresen
11 M. Ofkir
14 L. Mares
26 P. Metcalfe
17 A. Potur
28 David Benjamin
Coach · T. Myhre
Substitutes
24 · D. Al-Saed
27 · João Barros
29 · B. Isufi
10 · L. Mettler
18 · Duarte Moreira
4 · H. Opsahl
6 · W. Osnes-Ringen
33 · Elias Simon Rusen
16 · A. Trondsen
Rosenborg
4-4-2
1 L. Wahlstedt
16 A. Witry
4 M. Ceïde
21 T. Nemčík
19 A. Pereira
11 N. Sahsah
17 M. Bomholt
10 O. Selnæs
22 J. Svensson
18 Amin Chiakha
35 E. Ceïde
Coach · Freyr Alexandersson
Substitutes
12 · R. Sandberg
14 · J. Reitan-Sunde
30 · M. Soboczynski
15 · J. Mortensen
23 · M. Mampassi
6 · M. Kjølø
9 · D. Islamović
8 · I. Fossum
3 · T. Solheim
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Ham-Kam
5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg
22 S. Nilsen
2 M. Gjone
23 F. Sjølstad
3 E. Amundsen-Day
5 A. Andresen
11 M. Ofkir
14 L. Mares
26 P. Metcalfe
17 A. Potur
28 David Benjamin
Coach · T. Myhre
Substitutes
24 · D. Al-Saed
27 · João Barros
29 · B. Isufi
10 · L. Mettler
18 · Duarte Moreira
4 · H. Opsahl
6 · W. Osnes-Ringen
33 · Elias Simon Rusen
16 · A. Trondsen
Rosenborg
4-4-2
1 L. Wahlstedt
16 A. Witry
4 M. Ceïde
21 T. Nemčík
19 A. Pereira
11 N. Sahsah
17 M. Bomholt
10 O. Selnæs
22 J. Svensson
18 Amin Chiakha
35 E. Ceïde
Coach · Freyr Alexandersson
Substitutes
12 · R. Sandberg
14 · J. Reitan-Sunde
30 · M. Soboczynski
15 · J. Mortensen
23 · M. Mampassi
6 · M. Kjølø
9 · D. Islamović
8 · I. Fossum
3 · T. Solheim
We make Rosenborg a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 17 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 44%, 45% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 62% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam win | 31% | 18% | +13 |
| Draw | 23% | 21% | +2 |
| Rosenborg win | 45% | 62% | −17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 64% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 62% | 60% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 84% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 44% | −5 |
| Ham-Kam or draw | 55% | 38% | +17 |
| Ham-Kam clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
| Rosenborg clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Eliteserien this season · since 30 Aug
HAM-KAM
ROSENBORG
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 23 | +38 | 56 |
| 2 | Viking | 23 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 23 | +17 | 40 |
| 4 | Tromso | 23 | +11 | 40 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 23 | +12 | 37 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 23 | +1 | 36 |
| 7 | Brann | 23 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 23 | −8 | 29 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 23 | −9 | 29 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 23 | −6 | 28 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 23 | −8 | 26 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 23 | −15 | 26 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 23 | −8 | 24 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 23 | −12 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 23 | −24 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 23 | −29 | 16 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Bodo/Glimt
Viking
Molde
Tromso
Lillestrom
Brann
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
Sandefjord
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Start