Bodo/Glimt v Valerenga

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bodo/Glimt win at 80%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: Bodo/Glimt was 80% before kick-off and our model makes it 80% now. 0–0 · 80–12–8
3. 2′KICK-OFF Bodo/Glimt v Valerenga
4. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Bodo/Glimt win: 80% at kick-off, 70% now
5. 38′We said Bodo/Glimt at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 68%. 0–0 · 68–21–11
6. 39′Bodo/Glimt have had 8 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 68–21–11
7. 45′SECOND HALF Bodo/Glimt 0–0 Valerenga
8. 46′We said Bodo/Glimt at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–24–11
9. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Bodo/Glimt · On: Fredrik Bjorkan · Off: Isak Dybvik Maatta
10. 49′HALF-TIME Bodo/Glimt 0–0 Valerenga
11. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter · Valerenga
12. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Bodo/Glimt win: 80% at kick-off, 60% now
13. 54′We said Bodo/Glimt at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–29–11
14. 55′We expected about 4.3 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 59–30–11
15. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Ola Brynhildsen · Bodo/Glimt
16. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Valerenga · On: Magnus Westergaard · Off: Ghayas Zahid
17. 61′We said Bodo/Glimt at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–35–11
18. 64′We said Bodo/Glimt at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–31–49
19. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Bodo/Glimt 0–1 Valerenga
20. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Bodo/Glimt win: 80% at kick-off, 20% now
21. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Valerenga win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Bodo/Glimt win 51%)
22. 65′We said Bodo/Glimt at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–31–50
23. 65′65′: Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren on the scoresheet for Valerenga, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 19–31–50
24. 68′Bodo/Glimt have had 16 attempts to 11 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 16–31–53
25. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Valerenga · On: Odin Thiago Holm · Off: Fidel Brice Ambina
26. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Bodo/Glimt · On: Andreas Helmersen · Off: Ola Brynhildsen Corrected
27. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Bodo/Glimt · On: Ulrik Saltnes · Off: Sondre Auklend Corrected
28. 70′We said Bodo/Glimt at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–30–56
29. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Bodo/Glimt win: 80% at kick-off, 10% now
30. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Bodo/Glimt · On: Joel Mvuka · Off: Ole Didrik Blomberg
31. 75′We said Bodo/Glimt at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–28–63
32. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Valerenga · On: Ivan Nasberg · Off: Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren
33. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Valerenga · On: Kevin Ngoyi Tshiembe · Off: Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter
34. 81′We said Bodo/Glimt at 80%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–22–74
35. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Odin Thiago Holm · Valerenga
36. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Carl Lange · Valerenga
37. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Bodo/Glimt · On: Jostein Gundersen · Off: Fredrik Sjovold
38. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Bodo/Glimt win: 80% at kick-off, under 1% now
39. 97′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Oscar Hedvall · Valerenga
40. FTFULL TIME Bodo/Glimt 0–1 Valerenga
41. FTBodo/Glimt 0–1 Valerenga · Bodo/Glimt win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Over 3.5: wrong · 3–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.