Oppsal v Lyn II prediction · 3. Division - Girone 6

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

OppsalDrawLyn II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Oppsal 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Oppsal are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Oppsal 46%, draw 21%, Lyn II 33%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Oppsal v Lyn IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Oppsal win46%

Draw21%

Lyn II win33%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 25

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Oppsal

Lyn II

9Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 6

Last match: 19 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 6

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Lyn II	24	+1	34
9	Oppsal	24	+2	33

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oppsal winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Oppsal a 46% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Oppsal v Lyn II~~1.96 – 1.65

~~Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 6 this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 33 v 34~~9 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Oppsal win	46%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Lyn II win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Oppsal or draw	67%	–	–
Oppsal clean sheet	20%	–	–
Lyn II clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.4%

0123450 2.6 4.9 3.8 2.1 1 5.7 8.4 7.1 3.9 2 5.3 8.3 6.8 3.7 3 3.4 5.5 4.4 2.4 4 2.7 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Oppsal down, Lyn II across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 992 3. Division - Girone 6 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Division - Girone 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.6% of games this season, across 173 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2025 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Oppsal at home: 2.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Lyn II away: 2.33 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.96 goals for Oppsal, 1.65 for Lyn II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~LYN 2–2 OPP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 6 this season · since 12 Sept

OPPSAL

WWWLLL6–3 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 0–1

LYN II

LDLDLW0–2 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 3–4 · 3–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lillehammer	25	+56	59
2	Elverum	25	+31	53
3	Råde	25	+45	46
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	25	+20	44
5	Drøbak / Frogn	25	+20	41
6	Ørn Horten	25	+7	38
7	Raelingen	25	−6	38
8	Lyn II	24	+1	34
9	Oppsal	24	+2	33
10	Sandefjord II	24	+1	33
11	Sarpsborg 08 II	24	+4	32
12	Fram	25	−9	29
13	Brumunddal	25	−83	12
14	Bjørkelangen	25	−89	3