Fram v Lillehammer

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Lillehammer win at 62%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Lillehammer was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 62% now. 0–0 · 22–16–62
3. 1′KICK-OFF Fram v Lillehammer
4. 22′Lillehammer find the net on 21′. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–13–78
5. 22′We published Lillehammer at 62%. Our model now makes it 78%. 0–1 · 9–13–78
6. 22′⚽ GOAL · 21' Fram 0–1 Lillehammer
7. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Lillehammer win: 62% at kick-off, 78% now
8. 39′A goal for Fram on 38′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 22–24–53
9. 39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Fram 1–1 Lillehammer
10. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Lillehammer win: 62% at kick-off, 53% now
11. 40′Goals are coming at about the 4.6 we expected. 1–1 · 22–25–53
12. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Lillehammer win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
13. 45′HALF-TIME Fram 1–1 Lillehammer
14. 46′SECOND HALF Fram 1–1 Lillehammer
15. 47′We said Lillehammer at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 50%. 1–1 · 22–27–50
16. 50′We said Lillehammer at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 22–29–49
17. 58′Fram score on 58′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 55–27–19
18. 58′We said Lillehammer at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–1 · 55–27–19
19. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Fram 2–1 Lillehammer
20. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Lillehammer win: 62% at kick-off, 19% now
21. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Fram win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Lillehammer win 46%)
22. 65′We said Lillehammer at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 59–27–14
23. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Lillehammer win: 62% at kick-off, 12% now
24. 72′We said Lillehammer at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 66–25–9
25. 74′Fram find the net on 74′. 3–1. 3–1 · 92–6–1
26. 74′We said Lillehammer at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 3–1 · 92–6–1
27. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Fram 3–1 Lillehammer
28. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Lillehammer win: 62% at kick-off, 1% now
29. 76′Fram ahead on 73′ through D. Lunde. 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
30. 94′A goal for Lillehammer on 90′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 97–3–0
31. 94′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.6 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 97–3–0
32. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Fram 3–2 Lillehammer
33. FTFULL TIME Fram 3–2 Lillehammer
34. FTFram 3–2 Lillehammer · Lillehammer win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.