Home › Football › 3. Division - Girone 6 › Fram v Brumunddal

Fram v Brumunddal

Fram

4–0Full time

Brumunddal

3. Division - Girone 6 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:30

Fram 4–0 Brumunddal FRAM WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT4–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Fram win~~87%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.027

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Fram win at 87%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Fram 87% before kick-off, 87% now. 0–0 · 87–8–5
2′KICK-OFF Fram v Brumunddal
42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Fram 1–0 Brumunddal
45′Fram ahead on 40′ through J. Sannes. 1–0. 1–0 · 91–7–2
45′HALF-TIME Fram 1–0 Brumunddal
47′SECOND HALF Fram 1–0 Brumunddal
51′⚽ GOAL · 48' Fram 2–0 Brumunddal · E. Johnsen
54′E. Johnsen scores for Fram on 48′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Fram win: 87% at kick-off, 98% now
71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Fram 3–0 Brumunddal
75′⚽ GOAL · 73' Fram 4–0 Brumunddal
FTFULL TIME Fram 4–0 Brumunddal
FTFram 4–0 Brumunddal · Fram win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 4–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Fram win87%

Draw8%

Brumunddal win6%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fram winPublished 10 Oct 14:16

87% The market–

Us87%

We make Fram a 87% chance to win. The model expects 4.3–1.2, and 4–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fram win	87%	–	–
Draw	8%	–	–
Brumunddal win	6%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	91%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	97%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	79%	–	–
Fram or draw	94%	–	–
Fram clean sheet	30%	–	–
Brumunddal clean sheet	2%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 4–1 at 6.6%

0123450 1 2.2 2 3.8 4.5 2.8 3 5.3 6.3 3.8 4 5.6 6.6 4.0 5 4.8 5.7 3.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Fram down, Brumunddal across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 973 3. Division - Girone 6 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Division - Girone 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.7% of games this season, across 154 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Fram at home: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Brumunddal away: 1.33 scored, 4.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

4.31 goals for Fram, 1.21 for Brumunddal. Most likely score 4–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~BRU 0–3 FRA

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 6

FRAM

WWLDLD4–3 · 4–0 · 3–6 · 1–1 · 2–4 · 1–1

BRUMUNDDAL

LDWLLL0–5 · 1–1 · 4–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–4

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lillehammer	22	+51	53
2	Elverum	22	+25	44
3	Råde	22	+30	40
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	22	+16	38
5	Drøbak / Frogn	22	+19	35
6	Ørn Horten	22	+9	35
7	Sandefjord II	22	+8	33
8	Oppsal	22	+4	33
9	Lyn II	22	0	31
10	Raelingen	22	−15	31
11	Sarpsborg 08 II	22	−3	28
12	Fram	22	−10	23
13	Brumunddal	22	−63	12
14	Bjørkelangen	22	−71	3