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Bjørkelangen v Raelingen

Bjørkelangen
0–5Full time
Raelingen

3. Division - Girone 6 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38
Bjørkelangen 0–5 Raelingen RAELINGEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Raelingen win69%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.140

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Raelingen win at 69%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Raelingen 69% before kick-off, 69% now. 0–0 · 16–15–69
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Bjørkelangen v Raelingen
  4. 9′Bjørkelangen have ten men and Raelingen ten after the red cards. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 16–16–68
  5. 9′🟥 RED CARD · 9' Bjørkelangen
  6. 9′🟥 RED CARD · 9' Raelingen
  7. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Raelingen win: 69% at kick-off, 59% now
  8. 43′We said Raelingen at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 57%. 0–0 · 17–26–57
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Bjørkelangen 0–0 Raelingen
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Bjørkelangen 0–0 Raelingen
  11. 49′We said Raelingen at 69%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 17–28–54
  12. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 4.3 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 17–32–51
  13. 57′Raelingen find the net on 57′. 0–1. 0–1 · 4–13–83
  14. 57′We said Raelingen at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 0–1 · 4–13–83
  15. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Bjørkelangen 0–1 Raelingen
  16. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Raelingen win: 69% at kick-off, 83% now
  17. 60′Raelingen ahead on 58′ through J. B. Bjarmann. 0–1. 0–1 · 3–13–83
  18. 61′A goal for Raelingen on 60′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–3–97
  19. 61′We said Raelingen at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 0–2 · 0–3–97
  20. 61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Bjørkelangen 0–2 Raelingen
  21. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Raelingen win: 69% at kick-off, 97% now
  22. 63′63′: E. Flaten on the scoresheet for Raelingen, making it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  23. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Bjørkelangen 0–3 Raelingen · E. Flaten
  24. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Raelingen win: 69% at kick-off, over 99% now
  25. 64′We said Raelingen at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  26. 64′The goal count is tracking the 4.3 we expected. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  27. 66′Raelingen find the net on 66′. 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  28. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Bjørkelangen 0–4 Raelingen
  29. 70′Raelingen ahead on 67′ through J. B. Bjarmann. 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  30. 74′A goal for Raelingen on 74′ — 0–5. 0–5 · 0–0–100
  31. 74′5 goals already, more than the 4.3 we expected for the whole match. 0–5 · 0–0–100
  32. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Bjørkelangen 0–5 Raelingen
  33. FTFULL TIME Bjørkelangen 0–5 Raelingen
  34. FTBjørkelangen 0–5 Raelingen · Raelingen win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Raelingen are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bjørkelangen 16%, draw 15%, Raelingen 69%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Bjørkelangen v RaelingenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Bjørkelangen win16%
Draw15%
Raelingen win69%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 25

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bjørkelangen

Raelingen

5Days since last match7

Last match: 19 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 6

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 6

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Raelingen24−1135
14Bjørkelangen24−843

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · raelingen winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 20 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off
69% The market–
Us69%

We make Raelingen a 69% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–3.0, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Bjørkelangen v Raelingen1.35 – 2.95
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 6 this season · since 12 SeptW0 D0 L6 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 3 v 3514 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70%75% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:20
Our probability · Raelingen win

Published at 67%, 69% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Bjørkelangen win16%––
Draw15%––
Raelingen win69%––
Over 2.5 goals79%––
Both teams to score69%––
Over 1.5 goals92%––
Over 3.5 goals62%––
Bjørkelangen or draw31%––
Bjørkelangen clean sheet6%––
Raelingen clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.8%
0123450 4.4 6.0 5.8 4.3 2.61 2.1 5.4 7.8 7.4 5.5 3.32 3.7 5.2 5.0 3.6 2.23 2.4 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Bjørkelangen down, Raelingen across0–5 goals a side shown (91.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsRAE 3–1 BJO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 6 this season · since 12 Sept

BJØRKELANGEN

LLLLLL2–4 · 1–7 · 0–6 · 0–5 · 1–7 · 0–7

RAELINGEN

DLWLDW2–2 · 1–4 · 1–0 · 0–5 · 1–1 · 4–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Lillehammer24+5759
2Elverum24+2850
3Råde24+4646
4Gjøvik-Lyn24+2344
5Drøbak / Frogn24+1838
6Ørn Horten24+635
7Raelingen24−1135
8Lyn II24+134
9Oppsal24+233
10Sandefjord II24+133
11Sarpsborg 08 II24+432
12Fram24−1026
13Brumunddal24−8112
14Bjørkelangen24−843

The competition's standings before kick-off.