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Bjørkelangen v Gjøvik-Lyn

Bjørkelangen

1–7Full time

Gjøvik-Lyn

3. Division - Girone 6 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38

Bjørkelangen 1–7 Gjøvik-Lyn GJØVIK-LYN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Gjøvik-Lyn win~~73%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.110

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Gjøvik-Lyn win at 73%.
1′KICK-OFF Bjørkelangen v Gjøvik-Lyn
3′Little has changed for our model: Gjøvik-Lyn 73% before kick-off, 73% now. 0–0 · 11–17–73
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Bjørkelangen 0–1 Gjøvik-Lyn
18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Bjørkelangen 0–2 Gjøvik-Lyn
23′18′ and it is 0–2: B. Evertsen on the scoresheet for Gjøvik-Lyn. 0–2 · 0–2–97
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Gjøvik-Lyn win: 73% at kick-off, 97% now
29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Bjørkelangen 0–3 Gjøvik-Lyn
43′Gjøvik-Lyn ahead on 29′ through B. Rossiter. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
45′HALF-TIME Bjørkelangen 0–3 Gjøvik-Lyn
46′We said Gjøvik-Lyn at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
46′SECOND HALF Bjørkelangen 0–3 Gjøvik-Lyn
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Bjørkelangen 0–4 Gjøvik-Lyn
68′L. Tveten scores for Gjøvik-Lyn on 52′ — 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Bjørkelangen 1–4 Gjøvik-Lyn
85′⚽ GOAL · 12' Bjørkelangen 1–4 Gjøvik-Lyn · S. Osterud
85′⚽ GOAL · 18' Bjørkelangen 1–4 Gjøvik-Lyn · B. Evertsen
85′⚽ GOAL · 29' Bjørkelangen 1–4 Gjøvik-Lyn · B. Rossiter
85′⚽ GOAL · 52' Bjørkelangen 1–4 Gjøvik-Lyn · L. Tveten
85′⚽ GOAL · 69' Bjørkelangen 1–4 Gjøvik-Lyn · O. Bjerkenes
86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Bjørkelangen 1–5 Gjøvik-Lyn
88′89′ and it is 1–6: Gjøvik-Lyn have scored. 1–6 · 0–0–100
88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Bjørkelangen 1–6 Gjøvik-Lyn
90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Bjørkelangen 1–7 Gjøvik-Lyn
FTFULL TIME Bjørkelangen 1–7 Gjøvik-Lyn
FTBjørkelangen 1–7 Gjøvik-Lyn · Gjøvik-Lyn win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Bjørkelangen win11%

Draw16%

Gjøvik-Lyn win73%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gjøvik-lyn winPublished 10 Oct 13:12

73% The market–

Us73%

We make Gjøvik-Lyn a 73% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–2.5, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bjørkelangen win	11%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Gjøvik-Lyn win	73%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Bjørkelangen or draw	27%	–	–
Bjørkelangen clean sheet	9%	–	–
Gjøvik-Lyn clean sheet	45%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 11.4%

0123450 4.0 9.7 11.4 9.3 5.8 3.01 3.3 7.3 8.9 7.2 4.5 2.32 3.1 3.7 3.0 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bjørkelangen down, Gjøvik-Lyn across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 973 3. Division - Girone 6 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Division - Girone 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.7% of games this season, across 154 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bjørkelangen at home: 1.00 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 6). Gjøvik-Lyn away: 1.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.81 goals for Bjørkelangen, 2.46 for Gjøvik-Lyn. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~GJO 3–0 BJO

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 6

BJØRKELANGEN

LLLLLL2–5 · 0–4 · 2–4 · 1–7 · 0–6 · 0–5

GJØVIK-LYN

WLWLLW5–0 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 2–3 · 5–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lillehammer	22	+51	53
2	Elverum	22	+25	44
3	Råde	22	+30	40
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	22	+16	38
5	Drøbak / Frogn	22	+19	35
6	Ørn Horten	22	+9	35
7	Sandefjord II	22	+8	33
8	Oppsal	22	+4	33
9	Lyn II	22	0	31
10	Raelingen	22	−15	31
11	Sarpsborg 08 II	22	−3	28
12	Fram	22	−10	23
13	Brumunddal	22	−63	12
14	Bjørkelangen	22	−71	3