Harstad v Alta

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Harstad win at 55%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Harstad was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–18–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Harstad v Alta
4. 15′Alta score on 15′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 31–22–48
5. 15′14′: K. Holsbo on the scoresheet for Alta, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 31–22–48
6. 15′We said Harstad at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 0–1 · 31–22–48
7. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Harstad 0–1 Alta
8. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Harstad win: 55% at kick-off, 31% now
9. 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' Alta win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Harstad win 31%)
10. 19′We said Harstad at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–22–49
11. 23′Harstad find the net on 23′. 1–1. 1–1 · 51–22–27
12. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Harstad 1–1 Alta
13. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Harstad win: 55% at kick-off, 51% now
14. 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Harstad win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Alta win 27%)
15. 26′A goal for Harstad on 26′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 73–16–11
16. 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Harstad 2–1 Alta
17. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Harstad win: 55% at kick-off, 73% now
18. 27′N. Johansen scores for Harstad on 25′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 73–16–11
19. 27′We published Harstad at 55%. Our model now makes it 73%. 2–1 · 73–16–11
20. 40′A red card for Alta on 39′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–1 · 74–17–9
21. 40′🟥 RED CARD · 39' Alta
22. 45′HALF-TIME Harstad 2–1 Alta
23. 46′SECOND HALF Harstad 2–1 Alta
24. 48′We published Harstad at 55%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–1 · 75–17–8
25. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Harstad win: 55% at kick-off, 75% now
26. 56′Alta are down to nine from 55′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–1 · 76–18–6
27. 56′🟥 RED CARD · 55' Alta
28. 58′Harstad score on 57′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 94–5–1
29. 58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Harstad 3–1 Alta
30. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Harstad win: 55% at kick-off, 94% now
31. 59′We published Harstad at 55%. Our model now makes it 94%. 3–1 · 94–5–1
32. 61′We published Harstad at 55%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
33. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Harstad win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
34. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 39' A. Sandbukt · Alta
35. 76′Harstad find the net on 76′. 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
36. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Harstad 4–1 Alta
37. 77′We published Harstad at 55%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
38. 77′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.1 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
39. 79′Harstad ahead on 75′ through an own goal by M. Solbakken. 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
40. 82′A goal for Harstad on 81′ — 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
41. 82′6 goals already, more than the 4.1 we expected for the whole match. 5–1 · 100–0–0
42. 82′⚽ GOAL · 81' Harstad 5–1 Alta
43. 83′Harstad score on 83′ to make it 6–1. 6–1 · 100–0–0
44. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Harstad 6–1 Alta
45. 84′That is 7, and we only asked for 4.1 across ninety minutes. 6–1 · 100–0–0
46. FTFULL TIME Harstad 6–1 Alta
47. FTHarstad 6–1 Alta · Harstad win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.