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Finnsnes v Harstad
Finnsnes
Harstad3. Division - Girone 5 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Harstad win at 49%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Harstad 49% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 32–20–48
- 1′KICK-OFF Finnsnes v Harstad
- 20′Finnsnes find the net on 19′. 1–0. 1–0 · 54–22–24
- 20′We said Harstad at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 54–22–24
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 19' Finnsnes 1–0 Harstad
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Harstad win: 49% at kick-off, 24% now
- 20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' Finnsnes win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Harstad win 46%)
- 25′A goal for Harstad on 25′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 31–25–45
- 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Finnsnes 1–1 Harstad
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Harstad win: 49% at kick-off, 45% now
- 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Harstad win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Finnsnes win 55%)
- 39′The goal count is tracking the 3.7 we expected. 1–1 · 29–29–42
- 43′Harstad score on 42′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 10–19–71
- 43′We said Harstad at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 1–2 · 10–19–71
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Finnsnes 1–2 Harstad
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Harstad win: 49% at kick-off, 71% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Finnsnes 1–2 Harstad
- 46′SECOND HALF Finnsnes 1–2 Harstad
- 47′41′: L. Sorensen on the scoresheet for Harstad, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 9–19–72
- 59′We said Harstad at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 6–19–75
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Harstad win: 49% at kick-off, 79% now
- 71′We said Harstad at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
- 72′Harstad find the net on 72′. 1–3. 1–3 · 0–3–97
- 72′We said Harstad at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 1–3 · 0–3–97
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Finnsnes 1–3 Harstad
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Harstad win: 49% at kick-off, 97% now
- 73′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–3–97
- 75′A goal for Finnsnes on 75′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 2–15–82
- 75′5 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 2–15–82
- 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Finnsnes 2–3 Harstad
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Harstad win: 49% at kick-off, 82% now
- 76′M. Bendiksen scores for Finnsnes on 74′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 2–15–83
- 78′We said Harstad at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–3 · 2–14–85
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Harstad win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
- 83′We said Harstad at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–3 · 1–10–90
- FTFULL TIME Finnsnes 2–3 Harstad
- FTFinnsnes 2–3 Harstad · Harstad win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Harstad are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Finnsnes 32%, draw 19%, Harstad 49%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 69%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Finnsnes win32%
Harstad win49%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 25
Match timeline
All events
FinnsnesMIN
HarstadEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Finnsnes
Harstad
Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 5
Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 5
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Harstad a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–2.1, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 51%, 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finnsnes win | 32% | – | – |
| Draw | 19% | – | – |
| Harstad win | 49% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 69% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | – | – |
| Finnsnes or draw | 51% | – | – |
| Finnsnes clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Harstad clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2022Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 5 this season · since 12 Sept
FINNSNES
HARSTAD
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 24 | +24 | 53 |
| 2 | Fløya | 24 | +32 | 48 |
| 3 | Harstad | 24 | +41 | 46 |
| 4 | Alta | 24 | +21 | 45 |
| 5 | Finnsnes | 24 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 | Kongsvinger II | 24 | −13 | 35 |
| 7 | Skjetten | 24 | +3 | 33 |
| 8 | Lillestrøm II | 24 | +18 | 31 |
| 9 | Fauske Sprint | 24 | −19 | 31 |
| 10 | Strømsgodset II | 24 | −1 | 30 |
| 11 | Tromsø II | 24 | +1 | 27 |
| 12 | Skjervøy | 24 | −23 | 27 |
| 13 | Bossekop | 24 | −43 | 19 |
| 14 | Ulfstind | 24 | −48 | 15 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Skedsmo
Fløya
Alta
Kongsvinger II
Skjetten
Lillestrøm II
Fauske Sprint
Strømsgodset II
Tromsø II
Skjervøy
Bossekop
Ulfstind