Fauske Sprint v Bossekop prediction · 3. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Fauske SprintDrawBossekop

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Fauske Sprint 70%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Fauske Sprint are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Fauske Sprint 70%, draw 12%, Bossekop 18%. Over 2.5 goals 95%, both teams to score 88%.

The AI’s read on Fauske Sprint v BossekopBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Fauske Sprint win70%

Draw12%

Bossekop win18%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 25

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Fauske Sprint

Bossekop

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 5

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 5

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Fauske Sprint	24	−19	31
13	Bossekop	24	−43	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fauske sprint winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

70% The market–

Us70%

We make Fauske Sprint a 70% chance to win. The model expects 4.2–2.3, and 4–2 is the single most likely score at 5%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Fauske Sprint v Bossekop~~4.23 – 2.33

~~Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 5 this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 31 v 19~~10 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Fauske Sprint win	70%	–	–
Draw	12%	–	–
Bossekop win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	95%	–	–
Both teams to score	88%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	98%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	88%	–	–
Fauske Sprint or draw	82%	–	–
Fauske Sprint clean sheet	11%	–	–
Bossekop clean sheet	2%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 4–2 at 4.7%

0123450 1 2 3.2 3.5 2.7 3 4.2 4.7 3.5 2.1 4 4.3 4.7 3.6 2.1 5 3.5 3.9 3.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Fauske Sprint down, Bossekop across0–5 goals a side shown (71.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 991 3. Division - Girone 5 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Division - Girone 5 matches have gone over 2.5 in 83.1% of games this season, across 172 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 5.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Fauske Sprint at home: 2.17 scored, 3.83 conceded a game (last 6). Bossekop away: 1.67 scored, 5.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

4.23 goals for Fauske Sprint, 2.33 for Bossekop. Most likely score 4–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~5.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~BOS 2–3 FAU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 5 this season · since 13 Sept

FAUSKE SPRINT

WWLLLL5–3 · 4–2 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 2–4 · 2–6

BOSSEKOP

DWLLLL1–1 · 4–3 · 0–3 · 1–5 · 2–4 · 2–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Skedsmo	25	+28	56
2	Fløya	25	+34	51
3	Harstad	24	+41	46
4	Alta	24	+21	45
5	Finnsnes	24	+7	40
6	Kongsvinger II	25	−17	35
7	Strømsgodset II	25	+4	33
8	Skjetten	24	+3	33
9	Lillestrøm II	25	+16	31
10	Fauske Sprint	24	−19	31
11	Tromsø II	24	+1	27
12	Skjervøy	24	−23	27
13	Bossekop	24	−43	19
14	Ulfstind	25	−53	15