Alta v Skjetten prediction · 3. Division - Girone 5

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AltaDrawSkjetten

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Alta 62%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Alta are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Alta 62%, draw 16%, Skjetten 21%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 73%.

The AI’s read on Alta v SkjettenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Alta win62%

Draw16%

Skjetten win21%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 25

VenueFinnmarkshallen

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Alta

Skjetten

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 5

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 5

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Alta	24	+21	45
8	Skjetten	24	+3	33

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · alta winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

62% The market–

Us62%

We make Alta a 62% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–1.6, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Alta v Skjetten~~2.79 – 1.58

~~Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 5 this season · since 12 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 45 v 33~~4 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Alta win	62%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Skjetten win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	62%	–	–
Alta or draw	79%	–	–
Alta clean sheet	21%	–	–
Skjetten clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.6%

0123450 2.7 1 4.3 5.4 4.5 2.4 2 5.0 7.6 5.9 3.1 3 4.5 6.8 5.3 2.8 4 3.1 4.7 3.6 5 2.7 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Alta down, Skjetten across0–5 goals a side shown (91.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 991 3. Division - Girone 5 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Division - Girone 5 matches have gone over 2.5 in 83.1% of games this season, across 172 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2022 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Alta at home: 3.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Skjetten away: 2.33 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.79 goals for Alta, 1.58 for Skjetten. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SKJ 1–1 ALT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 5 this season · since 12 Sept

ALTA

WWWWWL2–1 · 2–0 · 8–3 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–6

SKJETTEN

LWWLLL1–3 · 6–1 · 3–0 · 3–4 · 1–5 · 1–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Skedsmo	25	+28	56
2	Fløya	25	+34	51
3	Harstad	25	+42	49
4	Alta	24	+21	45
5	Finnsnes	25	+6	40
6	Kongsvinger II	25	−17	35
7	Strømsgodset II	25	+4	33
8	Skjetten	24	+3	33
9	Lillestrøm II	25	+16	31
10	Fauske Sprint	24	−19	31
11	Tromsø II	24	+1	27
12	Skjervøy	24	−23	27
13	Bossekop	24	−43	19
14	Ulfstind	25	−53	15