Vindbjart v Varhaug

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vindbjart win at 58%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Vindbjart was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–20–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF Vindbjart v Varhaug
4. 16′A goal for Varhaug on 16′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 31–23–46
5. 16′We said Vindbjart at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 0–1 · 31–23–46
6. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Vindbjart 0–1 Varhaug
7. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' Vindbjart win: 58% at kick-off, 31% now
8. 16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' Varhaug win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Vindbjart win 31%)
9. 21′We said Vindbjart at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–24–47
10. 23′Varhaug score on 23′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 13–16–71
11. 23′We said Vindbjart at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–2 · 13–16–71
12. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Vindbjart 0–2 Varhaug
13. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Vindbjart win: 58% at kick-off, 13% now
14. 25′Vindbjart find the net on 25′. 1–2. 1–2 · 28–25–48
15. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Vindbjart 1–2 Varhaug
16. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Vindbjart win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
17. 34′We said Vindbjart at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–2 · 24–26–50
18. 42′A goal for Vindbjart on 42′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 47–31–22
19. 42′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 47–31–22
20. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Vindbjart 2–2 Varhaug
21. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Vindbjart win: 58% at kick-off, 47% now
22. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Vindbjart win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Varhaug win 22%)
23. 44′We said Vindbjart at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 2–2 · 46–32–22
24. 45′HALF-TIME Vindbjart 2–2 Varhaug
25. 46′H. Heggland scores for Vindbjart on 41′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 46–33–21
26. 46′SECOND HALF Vindbjart 2–2 Varhaug
27. 49′We said Vindbjart at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 2–2 · 44–35–21
28. 51′H. Heggland scores for Vindbjart on 41′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 43–36–21
29. 51′We said Vindbjart at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 2–2 · 43–36–21
30. 52′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 43–36–21
31. 59′We said Vindbjart at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–41–20
32. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Vindbjart win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
33. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Vindbjart win 38%)
34. 66′We said Vindbjart at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–48–18
35. 66′Varhaug score on 65′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 9–25–66
36. 66′We said Vindbjart at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–3 · 9–25–66
37. 66′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 9–25–66
38. 66′⚽ GOAL · 65' Vindbjart 2–3 Varhaug
39. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Vindbjart win: 58% at kick-off, 9% now
40. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Varhaug win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Draw 25%)
41. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Vindbjart win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
42. 75′We said Vindbjart at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–3 · 4–21–75
43. 84′Varhaug find the net on 83′. 2–4. 2–4 · 0–1–99
44. 84′6 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–4 · 0–1–99
45. 84′⚽ GOAL · 83' Vindbjart 2–4 Varhaug
46. 92′A goal for Vindbjart on 90′ — 3–4. 3–4 · 0–4–95
47. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Vindbjart 3–4 Varhaug
48. 93′That is 7, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 3–4 · 0–3–97
49. FTFULL TIME Vindbjart 3–4 Varhaug
50. FTVindbjart 3–4 Varhaug · Vindbjart win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.