Våg v Odd II prediction · 3. Division - Girone 4

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

VågDrawOdd II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Våg 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Våg are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Våg 56%, draw 20%, Odd II 23%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Våg v Odd IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Våg win56%

Draw20%

Odd II win23%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 25

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Våg

Odd II

8Days since last match9

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 4

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 4

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Våg	24	+2	35
11	Odd II	24	−14	29

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · våg winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Våg a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Våg v Odd II~~2.19 – 1.34

~~Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 4 this season · since 12 Sept~~W5 D1 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 35 v 29~~8 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Våg win	56%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Odd II win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Våg or draw	77%	–	–
Våg clean sheet	27%	–	–
Odd II clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.2 4.1 2.7 1 6.6 8.5 5.7 2.6 2 7.0 9.1 6.0 2.7 3 5.1 6.6 4.4 4 2.8 3.7 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Våg down, Odd II across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 993 3. Division - Girone 4 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Division - Girone 4 matches have gone over 2.5 in 75.9% of games this season, across 174 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2025 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Våg at home: 2.50 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Odd II away: 1.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.19 goals for Våg, 1.34 for Odd II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~ODD 1–1 VAG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 4 this season · since 12 Sept

VÅG

WDWWWW3–0 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 4–0 · 2–1

ODD II

WDLWWL2–1 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 0–4

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Madla	25	+32	51
2	Mandalskameratene	25	+23	49
3	Varhaug	25	+8	42
4	Flekkerøy	25	+8	42
5	Brodd	25	+11	39
6	Vindbjart	25	+18	38
7	Viking II	25	+20	35
8	Våg	24	+2	35
9	Stabæk II	25	−3	34
10	Staal Jørpeland	25	−14	29
11	Odd II	24	−14	29
12	Hinna	25	−23	27
13	Haugesund II	25	−24	25
14	Åkra	25	−44	18