Odd II v Brodd prediction · 3. Division - Girone 4

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10

Odd II 0–4 Brodd ODD II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Odd II win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.656

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Odd II win at 43%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Odd II 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–22–35
1′KICK-OFF Odd II v Brodd
6′Brodd find the net on 5′. 0–1. 0–1 · 23–20–57
6′We said Odd II at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–20–57
6′⚽ GOAL · 5' Odd II 0–1 Brodd
6′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 6' Odd II win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
6′THE CALL SWINGS · 6' Brodd win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Odd II win 23%)
8′Brodd find the net on 5′. 0–1. 0–1 · 23–20–57
8′We said Odd II at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–20–57
25′We said Odd II at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–21–59
30′The goal count is tracking the 3.7 we expected. 0–1 · 18–22–60
42′Odd II are down to ten from 41′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–1 · 15–23–63
42′🟥 RED CARD · 41' Odd II
43′We said Odd II at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
45′HALF-TIME Odd II 0–1 Brodd
46′SECOND HALF Odd II 0–1 Brodd
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Odd II win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
59′We said Odd II at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
63′A goal for Brodd on 63′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–6–92
63′We said Odd II at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–6–92
63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Odd II 0–2 Brodd
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Odd II win: 43% at kick-off, 1% now
71′Brodd score on 71′ to make it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Odd II 0–3 Brodd
74′Brodd find the net on 74′. 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
74′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 0–4 · 0–0–100
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Odd II 0–4 Brodd
85′🟨 YELLOW · 42' M. Adamu · Odd II
FTFULL TIME Odd II 0–4 Brodd
FTOdd II 0–4 Brodd · Odd II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Odd II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Odd II 43%, draw 21%, Brodd 35%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Odd II v BroddBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Odd II win43%

Draw21%

Brodd win35%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 24

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Odd II

Brodd

8Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 4

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 4

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Brodd	23	+2	33
10	Odd II	23	−10	29

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · odd ii winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Odd II a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Odd II v Brodd~~1.94 – 1.72

~~Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 4 this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 29 v 33~~10 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Odd II win	43%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Brodd win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	69%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
Odd II or draw	65%	–	–
Odd II clean sheet	19%	–	–
Brodd clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.5%

0123450 2.9 4.6 3.9 2.3 1 5.2 8.5 7.2 4.2 2 4.9 8.0 6.8 3.9 3 3.2 5.2 4.4 2.5 4 2.6 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Odd II down, Brodd across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 980 3. Division - Girone 4 matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Division - Girone 4 matches have gone over 2.5 in 74.5% of games this season, across 161 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Odd II at home: 2.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Brodd away: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.94 goals for Odd II, 1.72 for Brodd. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~BRO 2–1 ODD · BRO 4–0 ODD · ODD 1–1 BRO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 4 this season · since 5 Sept

ODD II

WWDLWW7–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 3–1 · 1–0

BRODD

LLDLWW0–3 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 4–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Madla	23	+32	48
2	Mandalskameratene	23	+20	43
3	Flekkerøy	23	+8	39
4	Vindbjart	23	+20	38
5	Varhaug	23	+5	36
6	Viking II	23	+23	35
7	Brodd	23	+2	33
8	Stabæk II	23	−1	33
9	Våg	23	+1	32
10	Odd II	23	−10	29
11	Staal Jørpeland	23	−13	26
12	Haugesund II	23	−21	25
13	Hinna	23	−25	23
14	Åkra	23	−41	15