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Haugesund II v Mandalskameratene
Haugesund II
Mandalskameratene3. Division - Girone 4 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Mandalskameratene win at 58%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Mandalskameratene was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 24–18–58
- 1′KICK-OFF Haugesund II v Mandalskameratene
- 20′Mandalskameratene find the net on 20′. 0–1. 0–1 · 10–14–76
- 20′We published Mandalskameratene at 58%. Our model now makes it 76%. 0–1 · 10–14–76
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Haugesund II 0–1 Mandalskameratene
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Mandalskameratene win: 58% at kick-off, 76% now
- 22′A goal for Haugesund II on 22′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 24–22–54
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Haugesund II 1–1 Mandalskameratene
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Mandalskameratene win: 58% at kick-off, 54% now
- 35′Goals are coming at about the 4.2 we expected. 1–1 · 24–25–51
- 40′Haugesund II score on 40′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 51–25–25
- 40′We said Mandalskameratene at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 2–1 · 51–25–25
- 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Haugesund II 2–1 Mandalskameratene
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Mandalskameratene win: 58% at kick-off, 25% now
- 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Haugesund II win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Mandalskameratene win 25%)
- 41′We said Mandalskameratene at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–1 · 51–25–24
- 43′Haugesund II score on 39′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 52–25–23
- 45′HALF-TIME Haugesund II 2–1 Mandalskameratene
- 46′SECOND HALF Haugesund II 2–1 Mandalskameratene
- 49′A red card for Haugesund II on 49′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–1 · 54–26–20
- 49′🟥 RED CARD · 49' Haugesund II
- 50′Mandalskameratene find the net on 50′. 2–2. 2–2 · 23–31–45
- 50′We said Mandalskameratene at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 45%. 2–2 · 23–31–45
- 50′🟨 YELLOW · 49' W. Valenza · Haugesund II
- 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Haugesund II 2–2 Mandalskameratene
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Mandalskameratene win: 58% at kick-off, 45% now
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Mandalskameratene win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Haugesund II win 23%)
- 53′We said Mandalskameratene at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 2–2 · 23–33–44
- 62′We said Mandalskameratene at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 22–39–39
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Mandalskameratene win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
- 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Mandalskameratene win 37%)
- 69′We said Mandalskameratene at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 19–47–34
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Mandalskameratene win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
- 82′We said Mandalskameratene at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 2–2 · 11–71–18
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Mandalskameratene win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
- 84′We said Mandalskameratene at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 9–77–14
- 86′A goal for Haugesund II on 86′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 88–11–1
- 86′We said Mandalskameratene at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 3–2 · 88–11–1
- 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Haugesund II 3–2 Mandalskameratene
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Mandalskameratene win: 58% at kick-off, 1% now
- 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Haugesund II win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
- 87′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.2 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 89–10–1
- 92′Mandalskameratene score on 90′ to make it 3–3. 3–3 · 3–91–5
- 92′We said Mandalskameratene at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 3–3 · 3–91–5
- 92′6 goals already, more than the 4.2 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 3–91–5
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Haugesund II 3–3 Mandalskameratene
- 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Haugesund II win 3%)
- 94′Mandalskameratene find the net on 90′. 3–4. 3–4 · 0–2–98
- 94′We published Mandalskameratene at 58%. Our model now makes it 98%. 3–4 · 0–2–98
- 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Haugesund II 3–4 Mandalskameratene
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Mandalskameratene win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
- 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Mandalskameratene win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
- 95′That is 7, and we only asked for 4.2 across ninety minutes. 3–4 · 0–2–98
- FTFULL TIME Haugesund II 3–4 Mandalskameratene
- FTHaugesund II 3–4 Mandalskameratene · Mandalskameratene win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassMandalskameratene are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Haugesund II 24%, draw 18%, Mandalskameratene 58%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 73%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Haugesund II win24%
Mandalskameratene win58%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 24
Match timeline
All events
Haugesund IIMIN
MandalskamerateneEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Haugesund II
Mandalskameratene
Last match: 12 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 4
Last match: 11 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 4
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Mandalskameratene a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.6–2.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 60%, 58% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haugesund II win | 24% | 21% | +3 |
| Draw | 18% | 20% | −2 |
| Mandalskameratene win | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 75% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 73% | 71% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | 88% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60% | 58% | +2 |
| Haugesund II or draw | 42% | 42% | 0 |
| Haugesund II clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
| Mandalskameratene clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2022Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 4 this season · since 5 Sept
HAUGESUND II
MANDALSKAMERATENE
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 23 | +32 | 48 |
| 2 | Mandalskameratene | 23 | +20 | 43 |
| 3 | Flekkerøy | 23 | +8 | 39 |
| 4 | Vindbjart | 23 | +20 | 38 |
| 5 | Varhaug | 23 | +5 | 36 |
| 6 | Viking II | 23 | +23 | 35 |
| 7 | Brodd | 23 | +2 | 33 |
| 8 | Stabæk II | 23 | −1 | 33 |
| 9 | Våg | 23 | +1 | 32 |
| 10 | Odd II | 23 | −10 | 29 |
| 11 | Staal Jørpeland | 23 | −13 | 26 |
| 12 | Haugesund II | 23 | −21 | 25 |
| 13 | Hinna | 23 | −25 | 23 |
| 14 | Åkra | 23 | −41 | 15 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Madla
Flekkerøy
Vindbjart
Varhaug
Viking II
Brodd
Stabæk II
Våg
Odd II
Staal Jørpeland
Hinna
Åkra