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Home › Football › 3. Division - Girone 4 › Flekkerøy v Våg

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Flekkerøy v Våg

Flekkerøy
1–2Full time
Våg

3. Division - Girone 4 · SUN 18 OCT · Cemo Arena

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02
Flekkerøy 1–2 Våg FLEKKERØY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Flekkerøy win48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.778

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 16 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Flekkerøy win at 48%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Flekkerøy 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–23–29
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Flekkerøy v Våg
  4. 25′Flekkerøy score on 25′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 72–18–11
  5. 25′We said Flekkerøy at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–18–11
  6. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Flekkerøy 1–0 Våg
  7. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Flekkerøy win: 48% at kick-off, 72% now
  8. 26′24′: H. Andersen on the scoresheet for Flekkerøy, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 72–18–11
  9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–0 · 72–18–10
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Flekkerøy 1–0 Våg
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Flekkerøy 1–0 Våg
  12. 50′We said Flekkerøy at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–7
  13. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Flekkerøy win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
  14. 64′Flekkerøy are down to ten from 64′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 78–18–4
  15. 64′🟥 RED CARD · 64' Flekkerøy
  16. 67′We said Flekkerøy at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  17. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 64' D. Gamachis · Flekkerøy
  18. 73′We said Flekkerøy at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–59–17
  19. 73′Våg find the net on 73′. 1–1. 1–1 · 24–59–17
  20. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Flekkerøy 1–1 Våg
  21. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Flekkerøy win: 48% at kick-off, 24% now
  22. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Flekkerøy win 24%)
  23. 78′We said Flekkerøy at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–68–14
  24. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Flekkerøy win: 48% at kick-off, 17% now
  25. 82′We said Flekkerøy at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
  26. 86′We said Flekkerøy at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
  27. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Flekkerøy win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
  28. 92′We said Flekkerøy at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
  29. 93′A goal for Våg on 90′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–3–97
  30. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Flekkerøy 1–2 Våg
  31. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Våg win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
  32. FTFULL TIME Flekkerøy 1–2 Våg
  33. FTFlekkerøy 1–2 Våg · Flekkerøy win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Flekkerøy are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Flekkerøy 48%, draw 22%, Våg 30%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Flekkerøy v VågBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Flekkerøy win48%
Draw22%
Våg win30%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 24

VenueCemo Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Flekkerøy

Våg

9Days since last match8

Last match: 9 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 4

Last match: 10 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 4

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Flekkerøy23+839
9Våg23+132

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · flekkerøy winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
48% The market–
Us48%

We make Flekkerøy a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Flekkerøy v Våg1.85 – 1.40
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 4 this season · since 5 SeptW2 D1 L3 · W5 D1 L0
Table places · points 39 v 323 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Flekkerøy win48%––
Draw22%––
Våg win30%––
Over 2.5 goals63%––
Both teams to score63%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals41%––
Flekkerøy or draw70%––
Flekkerøy clean sheet25%––
Våg clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%
0123450 4.2 5.6 3.9 1 7.3 9.9 6.8 3.2 2 6.6 8.9 6.2 3.0 3 4.1 5.6 3.9 4 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Flekkerøy down, Våg across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsVAG 0–2 FLE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 4 this season · since 5 Sept

FLEKKERØY

LLDWWL0–2 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–1

VÅG

WWDWWW3–2 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 4–1 · 4–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Madla24+3451
2Mandalskameratene24+2146
3Flekkerøy23+839
4Varhaug24+639
5Vindbjart24+1938
6Brodd24+636
7Viking II24+2135
8Stabæk II23−133
9Våg23+132
10Odd II24−1429
11Staal Jørpeland24−1526
12Hinna24−2326
13Haugesund II24−2225
14Åkra23−4115

The competition's standings before kick-off.