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Åkra v Stabæk II
Åkra
Stabæk II3. Division - Girone 4 · MON 19 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Stabæk II win at 58%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Stabæk II was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 24–18–58
- 1′KICK-OFF Åkra v Stabæk II
- 5′A goal for Åkra on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 43–20–37
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 4' Åkra 1–0 Stabæk II
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Stabæk II win: 58% at kick-off, 37% now
- 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Åkra win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Stabæk II win 57%)
- 6′We said Stabæk II at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 1–0 · 43–20–37
- 8′Stabæk II score on 8′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 24–19–57
- 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Åkra 1–1 Stabæk II
- 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Stabæk II win: 58% at kick-off, 57% now
- 8′THE CALL SWINGS · 8' Stabæk II win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Åkra win 43%)
- 9′7′: R. Ferrington on the scoresheet for Stabæk II, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 24–19–57
- 17′We published Stabæk II at 58%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–2 · 10–14–76
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Åkra 1–2 Stabæk II
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Stabæk II win: 58% at kick-off, 76% now
- 18′Stabæk II find the net on 17′. 1–2. 1–2 · 10–14–76
- 22′Stabæk II ahead on 15′ through C. Bachke. 1–2. 1–2 · 10–14–76
- 29′A goal for Åkra on 29′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 24–24–52
- 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Åkra 2–2 Stabæk II
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Stabæk II win: 58% at kick-off, 52% now
- 33′J. Simonsen scores for Åkra on 28′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 24–25–51
- 41′Åkra score on 41′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 51–25–24
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Åkra 3–2 Stabæk II
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Stabæk II win: 58% at kick-off, 24% now
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Åkra win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Stabæk II win 49%)
- 42′We said Stabæk II at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 3–2 · 51–25–24
- 42′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.2 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 51–25–24
- 43′40′: J. Simonsen on the scoresheet for Åkra, making it 3–2. 3–2 · 52–25–23
- 45′HALF-TIME Åkra 3–2 Stabæk II
- 46′SECOND HALF Åkra 3–2 Stabæk II
- 51′We said Stabæk II at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 3–2 · 55–26–19
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Stabæk II win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
- 56′Åkra find the net on 56′. 4–2. 4–2 · 83–12–5
- 56′We said Stabæk II at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 4–2 · 83–12–5
- 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Åkra 4–2 Stabæk II
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Stabæk II win: 58% at kick-off, 5% now
- 58′We said Stabæk II at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 4–2 · 84–11–4
- 58′A goal for Stabæk II on 58′ — 4–3. 4–3 · 58–26–16
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Åkra 4–3 Stabæk II
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Stabæk II win: 58% at kick-off, 16% now
- 59′That is 7, and we only asked for 4.2 across ninety minutes. 4–3 · 59–26–15
- 60′We said Stabæk II at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 4–3 · 59–26–14
- 64′Åkra score on 64′ to make it 5–3. 5–3 · 88–9–3
- 64′8 goals already, more than the 4.2 we expected for the whole match. 5–3 · 88–9–3
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Åkra 5–3 Stabæk II
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Stabæk II win: 58% at kick-off, 3% now
- 67′71′: S. Weltzien on the scoresheet for Åkra, making it 5–3. 5–3 · 90–8–2
- FTFULL TIME Åkra 5–3 Stabæk II
- FTÅkra 5–3 Stabæk II · Stabæk II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Stabæk II are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Åkra 24%, draw 18%, Stabæk II 58%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 73%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
Åkra win24%
Stabæk II win58%Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 24
Match timeline
All events
ÅkraMIN
Stabæk IIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Åkra
Stabæk II
Last match: 12 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 4
Last match: 11 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 4
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Stabæk II a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 68%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–2.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 68% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Åkra win | 24% | 15% | +9 |
| Draw | 18% | 17% | +1 |
| Stabæk II win | 58% | 68% | −10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 79% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 73% | 70% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | 91% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60% | 63% | −3 |
| Åkra or draw | 42% | 32% | +10 |
| Åkra clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
| Stabæk II clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 4 this season · since 5 Sept
ÅKRA
STABÆK II
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 24 | +34 | 51 |
| 2 | Mandalskameratene | 24 | +21 | 46 |
| 3 | Flekkerøy | 24 | +7 | 39 |
| 4 | Varhaug | 24 | +6 | 39 |
| 5 | Vindbjart | 24 | +19 | 38 |
| 6 | Brodd | 24 | +6 | 36 |
| 7 | Viking II | 24 | +21 | 35 |
| 8 | Våg | 24 | +2 | 35 |
| 9 | Stabæk II | 23 | −1 | 33 |
| 10 | Odd II | 24 | −14 | 29 |
| 11 | Staal Jørpeland | 24 | −15 | 26 |
| 12 | Hinna | 24 | −23 | 26 |
| 13 | Haugesund II | 24 | −22 | 25 |
| 14 | Åkra | 23 | −41 | 15 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Madla
Mandalskameratene
Flekkerøy
Varhaug
Vindbjart
Brodd
Viking II
Våg
Odd II
Staal Jørpeland
Hinna
Haugesund II