Varegg v Førde

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Varegg win at 48%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Varegg 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–21–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF Varegg v Førde
4. 15′Førde find the net on 15′. 0–1. 0–1 · 25–22–54
5. 15′We said Varegg at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 0–1 · 25–22–54
6. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Varegg 0–1 Førde
7. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Varegg win: 48% at kick-off, 25% now
8. 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' Førde win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Varegg win 47%)
9. 17′We said Varegg at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–22–54
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.7 we expected. 0–1 · 21–23–56
11. 35′We said Varegg at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–23–57
12. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Varegg win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
13. 41′A goal for Varegg on 41′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 41–30–28
14. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Varegg 1–1 Førde
15. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Varegg win: 48% at kick-off, 41% now
16. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Varegg win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Førde win 59%)
17. 45′45′: V. Savland on the scoresheet for Førde, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 16–24–60
18. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Varegg 1–2 Førde · V. Savland
19. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Varegg win: 48% at kick-off, 16% now
20. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Førde win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Varegg win 40%)
21. 45′HALF-TIME Varegg 1–2 Førde
22. 46′SECOND HALF Varegg 1–2 Førde
23. 47′Varegg find the net on 47′. 2–2. 2–2 · 39–33–28
24. 47′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 39–33–28
25. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Varegg 2–2 Førde
26. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Varegg win: 48% at kick-off, 39% now
27. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Varegg win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Førde win 61%)
28. 55′We said Varegg at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 2–2 · 36–38–26
29. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Varegg win 37%)
30. 60′We said Varegg at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–41–25
31. 63′A goal for Varegg on 63′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 76–19–5
32. 63′We said Varegg at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 3–2 · 76–19–5
33. 63′5 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 76–19–5
34. 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Varegg 3–2 Førde
35. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Varegg win: 48% at kick-off, 76% now
36. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Varegg win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 44%)
37. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Varegg win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
38. 71′We said Varegg at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 3–2 · 80–17–3
39. 78′We said Varegg at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–2 · 85–14–2
40. 79′Varegg score on 79′ to make it 4–2. 4–2 · 99–1–0
41. 79′We said Varegg at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 4–2 · 99–1–0
42. 79′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 99–1–0
43. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Varegg 4–2 Førde
44. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Varegg win: 48% at kick-off, 99% now
45. 80′80′: A. Waraas on the scoresheet for Varegg, making it 4–2. 4–2 · 99–1–0
46. 84′We said Varegg at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
47. 93′Førde find the net on 90′. 4–3. 4–3 · 97–3–0
48. 93′7 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 4–3 · 97–3–0
49. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Varegg 4–3 Førde
50. FTFULL TIME Varegg 4–3 Førde
51. FTVaregg 4–3 Førde · Varegg win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.