Vard v Askøy

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vard win at 55%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Vard was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–20–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Vard v Askøy
4. 8′Vard score on 7′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 75–15–10
5. 8′We published Vard at 55%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–15–10
6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' Vard 1–0 Askøy
7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 75% now
8. 9′Askøy find the net on 8′. 1–1. 1–1 · 53–22–25
9. 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Vard 1–1 Askøy
10. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 53% now
11. 10′Askøy level it on 9′ through J. Makestad. 1–1. 1–1 · 53–22–25
12. 23′A goal for Askøy on 22′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 26–24–50
13. 23′We said Vard at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 1–2 · 26–24–50
14. 23′⚽ GOAL · 22' Vard 1–2 Askøy
15. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 26% now
16. 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Askøy win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Vard win 26%)
17. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
18. 28′GOAL DISALLOWED · 28' Askøy
19. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 49% now
20. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Vard win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Askøy win 25%)
21. 41′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 1–1 · 45–31–24
22. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
23. 45′Askøy level it on 9′ through J. Makestad. 1–1. 1–1 · 44–32–24
24. 45′Much as we predicted: Vard was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 1–1 · 44–32–24
25. 45′HALF-TIME Vard 1–1 Askøy
26. 46′Y. Estifanos scores for Askøy on 45′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 18–26–56
27. 46′We said Vard at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–2 · 18–26–56
28. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45' Vard 1–2 Askøy · Y. Estifanos
29. 46′SECOND HALF Vard 1–2 Askøy
30. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 18% now
31. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Askøy win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Vard win 18%)
32. 47′We said Vard at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–33–23 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
33. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 15% now
34. 54′We said Vard at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–26–60
35. 64′We said Vard at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–25–66
36. 67′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 1–2 · 8–24–68
37. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 5% now
38. 75′We said Vard at 55%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–75
39. 79′Vard score on 79′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 20–68–12
40. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Vard 2–2 Askøy
41. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 20% now
42. 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Draw is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Askøy win 12%)
43. 80′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 18–70–11
44. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 14% now
45. 86′Vard find the net on 86′. 3–2. 3–2 · 93–6–0
46. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Vard 3–2 Askøy
47. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 93% now
48. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Vard win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 6%)
49. 87′We published Vard at 55%. Our model now makes it 94%. 3–2 · 94–6–0
50. 87′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 94–6–0
51. 88′We published Vard at 55%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
52. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Vard win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
53. FTFULL TIME Vard 3–2 Askøy
54. FTVard 3–2 Askøy · Vard win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.