Sogndal II v Brann II prediction · 3. Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sogndal IIDrawBrann II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Sogndal II 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sogndal II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sogndal II 44%, draw 19%, Brann II 38%. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 79%.

The AI’s read on Sogndal II v Brann IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Sogndal II win44%

Draw19%

Brann II win38%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 25

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sogndal II

Brann II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 19 Oct · 3. Division - Girone 3

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Brann II	24	+11	37
9	Sogndal II	24	+8	30

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sogndal ii winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Sogndal II a 44% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–2.2, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sogndal II v Brann II~~2.36 – 2.20

~~Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 3 this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 30 v 37~~9 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sogndal II win	44%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Brann II win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	82%	–	–
Both teams to score	79%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	66%	–	–
Sogndal II or draw	62%	–	–
Sogndal II clean sheet	12%	–	–
Brann II clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.8%

0123450 2.6 2.6 1 2.8 5.4 5.9 4.3 2.4 2 3.0 6.3 6.8 4.9 2.7 3 2.4 5.0 5.3 3.8 2.1 4 3.0 3.1 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sogndal II down, Brann II across0–5 goals a side shown (93.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 992 3. Division - Girone 3 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Division - Girone 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 77.5% of games this season, across 173 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sogndal II at home: 3.33 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Brann II away: 1.83 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.36 goals for Sogndal II, 2.20 for Brann II. Most likely score 2–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BRA 2–0 SOG · BRA 5–1 SOG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Division - Girone 3 this season · since 12 Sept

SOGNDAL II

LLLLWL0–2 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 5–3 · 1–5

BRANN II

WWWLLD2–1 · 7–0 · 4–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Os	25	+43	58
2	Djerv	25	+36	56
3	Vard	25	+24	47
4	Fana	25	+17	44
5	Askøy	24	+10	43
6	Brann II	24	+11	37
7	Austevoll	25	−7	37
8	Førde	25	−11	31
9	Sogndal II	24	+8	30
10	Stord	25	−13	30
11	Varegg	25	−10	26
12	Åsane II	24	−16	22
13	Gneist	25	−33	18
14	Fyllingsdalen	25	−59	6